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Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

Spreading phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and society. For example, disease, rumor, and information spread over underlying social and information networks. It is well known that there is no threshold for epidemic models on scale-free…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-16 Satoru Morita

A generalization of the standard susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) stochastic model for epidemics in sparse random networks is introduced which incorporates contact tracing in addition to random screening. We propose a deterministic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 Ramon Huerta , Lev S. Tsimring

It is generally accepted that scale-free networks is prone to epidemic spreading allowing the onset of large epidemics whatever the spreading rate of the infection. In the paper, we show that disease propagation may be suppressed in…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-03-05 Zhongzhi Zhang , Shuigeng Zhou , Tao Zou , Jihong Guan

In this work, the aim is to study the spread of a contagious disease and information on a multilayer social system. The main idea is to find a criterion under which the adoption of the spreading information blocks or suppresses the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

Modeling spreading processes in complex random networks plays an essential role in understanding and prediction of many real phenomena like epidemics or rumor spreading. The dynamics of such systems may be represented algorithmically by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-11-20 S. V. Ivanov , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Pascal Moyal , Viet Chi Tran

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

In an important paper, M.E.J. Newman claimed that a general network-based stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) epidemic model is isomorphic to a bond percolation model, where the bonds are the edges of the contact network and the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

This paper develops an agent-based disease spread model on a contact network in an effort to guide efforts at surveillance testing in small to moderate facilities such as nursing homes and meat-packing plants. The model employs Monte Carlo…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-04 Yanyue Ding , Sudesh K. Agrawal , Jincheng Cao , Lauren Meyers , John J. Hasenbein

In recent years, epidemic modeling in complex networks has found many applications, including modeling of information or gossip spread in online social networks, modeling of malware spread in communication networks, and the most recent…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Aybike Şimşek

We propose a novel SIR epidemic model which is driven by the transmission of infection packets in networks. Specifically, infected nodes generate and deliver infection packets causing the spread of the epidemic, while recovered nodes block…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

This paper deals with the spread of diseases over both a population network and an infrastructure network. We develop a layered networked spread model for a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) pathogen-borne disease spreading over a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-21 Philip E. Pare , Axel Janson , Sebin Gracy , Ji Liu , Henrik Sandberg , Karl H. Johansson

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev

The spread of sexually transmitted diseases (e.g. Chlamydia, Syphilis, Gonorrhea, HIV) across populations is a major concern for scientists and health agencies. In this context, both data collection on sexual contact networks and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 J. Gomez-Gardenes , V. Latora , Y. Moreno , E. V. Profumo

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Nicholas Soures , David Chambers , Zachariah Carmichael , Anurag Daram , Dimpy P. Shah , Kal Clark , Lloyd Potter , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon