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We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-07 Andreas Koher , Hartmut H. K. Lentz , James P. Gleeson , Philipp Hövel

The spread of disease on complex networks has attracted widely attention in the physics community. Recent works have demonstrated that heterogeneous degree and weight distributions have a significant influence on the epidemic dynamics. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hai-Feng Zhang , Hui Gao , Younghae Do , Zong-Hua Liu

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

Understanding spreading dynamics will benefit society as a whole in better preventing and controlling diseases, as well as facilitating the socially responsible information while depressing destructive rumors. In network-based spreading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-16 Ai-Xiang Cui , Zimo Yang , Tao Zhou

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We consider the problem of modifying a network topology in such a way as to delay the propagation of a disease with minimal disruption of the network capacity to reroute goods/items/passengers. We find an approximate solution to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-15 Paolo Bartesaghi , Ernesto Estrada

We study a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model with multiple seeds on a regular random graph. Many researchers have studied the epidemic threshold of epidemic models above which a global outbreak can occur, starting from an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

It is in practice impossible to describe the topology of a real network or its message propagation process using a single dynamic model. To address this issue, we constructed a new hybrid network model based on scale-free (SF), small-world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Fuzhong Nian , Hongyuan Diao

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

We study the absorbing phase transition for the model of epidemic spreading, Susceptible- Infected- Refractory (SIR), on one dimensional small world networks. This model has been found to be in the universality class of the dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-05 M. Ali Saif , M. A. Shukri , F. H. Al-makhedhi

We study the spreading of a disease on top of structured scale-free networks recently introduced. By means of numerical simulations we analyze the SIS and the SIR models. Our results show that when the connectivity fluctuations of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Alexei Vazquez

We study the SIR ("susceptible, infected, removed/recovered") model on directed graphs with heterogeneous transmission probabilities within the message-passing approximation. We characterize the percolation transition, predict cluster size…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Christoph Widder , Tanja Schilling

This paper studies algorithmic strategies to effectively reduce the number of infections in susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic models. We consider a Markov chain SIR model and its two instantiations in the deterministic SIR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yuhao Yi , Liren Shan , Philip E. Paré , Karl H. Johansson

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

When modelling HIV epidemics, it is important to incorporate set-point viral load and its heritability. As set-point viral load distributions can differ significantly amongst epidemics, it is imperative to account for the observed local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-28 Pieter Libin , Laurens Hernalsteen , Kristof Theys , Perpetua Gomes , Ana Abecasis , Ann Nowe

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model is a canonical model for emerging disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks are naturally modeled as taking place on networks. A theoretical challenge in network epidemiology is the dynamic correlations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Michael Z. Q. Chen , Petter Holme , Jian-Yue Guan

The interplay between disease spreading and personal risk perception is of key importance for modelling the spread of infectious diseases. We propose a planar system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to describe the co-evolution of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Massimo A. Achterberg , Mattia Sensi

Infectious diseases are practically represented by models with multiple states and complex transition rules corresponding to, for example, birth, death, infection, recovery, disease progression, and quarantine. In addition, networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Naoki Masuda , Norio Konno

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model with identical infectivity, where each node is assigned with the same capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step, is presented. We found that on scale-free networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Ming-Feng Zhang , Bing-Hong Wang

Network science has increasingly become central to the field of epidemiology and our ability to respond to infectious disease threats. However, many networks derived from modern datasets are not just large, but dense, with a high ratio of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-11 Alexander M. Mercier , Samuel V. Scarpino , Cristopher Moore
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