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The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We propose a hybrid meta-learning framework for forecasting and anomaly detection in nonlinear dynamical systems characterized by nonstationary and stochastic behavior. The approach integrates a physics-inspired simulator that captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Abdullah Burkan Bereketoglu

Weather and climate forecasts are inherently uncertain due to chaotic dynamics, imperfect initial conditions, and incomplete representation of the underlying physical processes. Operational ensemble forecasts aim to represent these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Birgit Kühbacher , Daan Crommelin , Niki Kilbertus

Poroelasticity -- coupled fluid flow and elastic deformation in porous media -- often involves spatially variable permeability, especially in subsurface systems. In such cases, simulations with random permeability fields are widely used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sangjoon Park , Yeonjong Shin , Jinhyun Choo

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

In this work we explore a new framework for approximate Bayesian inference in large datasets based on stochastic control (i.e. Schr\"odinger bridges). We advocate stochastic control as a finite time and low variance alternative to popular…

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

Model-form uncertainties in complex mechanics systems are a major obstacle for predictive simulations. Reducing these uncertainties is critical for stake-holders to make risk-informed decisions based on numerical simulations. For example,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-11 J. -L. Wu , J. -X. Wang , H. Xiao

We propose a novel finite element-based physics-informed operator learning framework that allows for predicting spatiotemporal dynamics governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The proposed framework employs a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Yusuke Yamazaki , Ali Harandi , Mayu Muramatsu , Alexandre Viardin , Markus Apel , Tim Brepols , Stefanie Reese , Shahed Rezaei

Stochastic models of biochemical reaction networks are widely used to capture intrinsic noise in cellular systems. The typical formulation of these models are based on Markov processes for which there is extensive research on efficient…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-03 Thomas P. Steele , David J. Warne

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

We develop a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in operator learning, the Stochastic Operator Network (SON). SON combines the stochastic optimal control concepts of the Stochastic Neural Network (SNN) with the DeepONet. By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Ryan Bausback , Jingqiao Tang , Lu Lu , Feng Bao , Toan Huynh

Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…

Chaos is a fundamental feature of many complex dynamical systems, including weather systems and fluid turbulence. These systems are inherently difficult to predict due to their extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. Many chaotic systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Andrea Goertzen , Sunbochen Tang , Navid Azizan

Nonlocal, integral operators have become an efficient surrogate for bottom-up homogenization, due to their ability to represent long-range dependence and multiscale effects. However, the nonlocal homogenized model has unavoidable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Yiming Fan , Habib Najm , Yue Yu , Stewart Silling , Marta D'Elia

This work presents a model reduction approach to the inverse problem in the application of subsurface flows. For the Bayesian inverse problem, the forward model needs to be repeatedly computed for a large number of samples to get a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

This paper presents an adaptive online learning framework for systems with uncertain parameters to ensure safety-critical control in non-stationary environments. Our approach consists of two phases. The initial phase is centered on a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Yu Zhang , Long Wen , Xiangtong Yao , Zhenshan Bing , Linghuan Kong , Wei He , Alois Knoll

This work presents a scalable control framework based on nonlinear Model Predictive Control for high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach addresses the key challenges of model scalability and partial observability by…