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This paper deals with the state estimation of non-linear and non-Gaussian systems with an emphasis on the numerical solution to the Bayesian recursive relations. In particular, this paper builds upon the Lagrangian grid-based filter (GbF)…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Jindřich Duník , Jan Krejčí , Jakub Matoušek , Marek Brandner , Yeongkwon Choe

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

We propose a novel method for maximum likelihood-based parameter inference in nonlinear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. The method is an iterative procedure with three steps. At each iteration a particle filter is used to estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-22 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten

Modeling count data is important in physics and other scientific disciplines, where measurements often involve discrete, non-negative quantities such as photon or neutrino detection events. Traditional parametric approaches can be trained…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-10 Anushka Saha , Abhijith Gandrakota , Alexandre V. Morozov

In this work, we propose a non-parametric probabilistic load flow (NP-PLF) technique based on the Gaussian Process (GP) learning to understand the power system behavior under uncertainty for better operational decisions. The technique can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-19 Parikshit Pareek , Chuan Wang , Hung D. Nguyen

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We introduce a fast algorithm for Gaussian process regression in low dimensions, applicable to a widely-used family of non-stationary kernels. The non-stationarity of these kernels is induced by arbitrary spatially-varying vertical and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-28 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

There has been a growing interest in using non-parametric regression methods like Gaussian Process (GP) regression for system identification. GP regression does traditionally have three important downsides: (1) it is computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen

We present a novel Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) method that employs Gaussian Process (GP) based landmark (object) representations. Instead of conventional grid maps or point cloud registration, we model the environment on a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Ali Emre Balcı , Erhan Ege Keyvan , Emre Özkan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful tools for nonlinear classification in which latent GPs are combined with link functions. But GPs do not scale well to large training data. This is compounded for classification where the latent GPs…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-28 Andrew Cooper , Annie S. Booth , Robert B. Gramacy

While optimal input design for linear systems has been well-established, no systematic approach exists for nonlinear systems where robustness to extrapolation/interpolation errors is prioritized over minimizing estimated parameter variance.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-09 Yuhan Liu , Máté Kiss , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens

We propose a nonparametric density estimator based on the Gaussian process (GP) and derive three novel closed form learning algorithms based on Fisher divergence (FD) score matching. The density estimator is formed by multiplying a base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 John Paisley , Wei Zhang , Brian Barr

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

Logistic Gaussian process (LGP) priors provide a flexible alternative for modelling unknown densities. The smoothness properties of the density estimates can be controlled through the prior covariance structure of the LGP, but the challenge…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-01 Jaakko Riihimäki , Aki Vehtari

This paper proposes a new methodology in linear time-periodic (LTP) system identification. In contrast to previous methods that totally separate dynamics at different tag times for identification, the method focuses on imposing appropriate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-10 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Mohammad Khosravi , Anilkumar Parsi , Roy S. Smith

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

We introduce and demonstrate experimentally: (1) a framework called "gate set tomography" (GST) for self-consistently characterizing an entire set of quantum logic gates on a black-box quantum device; (2) an explicit closed-form protocol…

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

This paper considers the Laplace method to derive approximate inference for the Gaussian process (GP) regression in the location and scale parameters of the Student-t probabilistic model. This allows both mean and variance of the data to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-09 Marcelo Hartmann , Jarno Vanhatalo

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar