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We describe a computational framework for modeling and statistical inference on high-dimensional stochastic dynamic systems. Our primary motivation is the investigation of metapopulation dynamics arising from a collection of spatially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Kidus Asfaw , Joonha Park , Aaron A. King , Edward L. Ionides

There has been increased interest in missing sensor data imputation, which is ubiquitous in the field of structural health monitoring (SHM) due to discontinuous sensing caused by sensor malfunction. To address this fundamental issue, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Pu Ren , Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun , Hao Sun

Point process models have been used to analyze interaction event times on a social network, in the hope to provides valuable insights for social science research. However, the diagnostics and visualization of the modeling results from such…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-28 Jing Wu , Anna L. Smith , Tian Zheng

Very large spatio-temporal lattice data are becoming increasingly common across a variety of disciplines. However, estimating interdependence across space and time in large areal datasets remains challenging, as existing approaches are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-20 Philipp Hunziker , Julian Wucherpfennig , Aya Kachi , Nils-Christian Bormann

For a sensor network, a tractable spatially-dependent node deployment model is presented with the property that the density is inversely proportional to the sink distance. A stochastic model is formulated to examine message advancements…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 H. Paul Keeler

The spatial scan statistic is widely used in epidemiology and medical studies as a tool to identify hotspots of diseases. The classical spatial scan statistic assumes the number of disease cases in different locations have independent…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 Ji Meng Loh , Zhengyuan Zhu

Many environmental processes exhibit weakening spatial dependence as events become more extreme. Well-known limiting models, such as max-stable or generalized Pareto processes, cannot capture this, which can lead to a preference for models…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-06 Raphaël G. Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Surrogate models are often used to replace costly-to-evaluate complex coastal codes to achieve substantial computational savings. In many of those models, the hydrometeorological forcing conditions (inputs) or flood events (outputs) are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 A. F. López-Lopera , D. Idier , J. Rohmer , F. Bachoc

Ecological Momentary Assessment provides real-time data on suicidal thoughts and behaviors, but predicting suicide attempts remains challenging due to their rarity and patient heterogeneity. We show that single models fit to all patients…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Genesis Hang , Annie Chen , Hope Neveux , Matthew K. Nock , Yaniv Yacoby

Location privacy-preserving mechanisms (LPPMs) have been extensively studied for protecting users' location privacy by releasing a perturbed location to third parties such as location-based service providers. However, when a user's…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Yang Cao , Yonghui Xiao , Li Xiong , Liquan Bai , Masatoshi Yoshikawa

Traffic forecasting uses recent measurements by sensors installed at chosen locations to forecast the future road traffic. Existing work either assumes all locations are equipped with sensors or focuses on short-term forecast. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Zhengkun Xiao , Yupu zhang , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We provide a survey of nonstationary surrogate models which utilize Gaussian processes (GPs) or variations thereof, including nonstationary kernel adaptations, partition and local GPs, and spatial warpings through deep Gaussian processes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-04 Annie S. Booth , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy

Accurately predicting when and where ambulance call-outs occur can reduce response times and ensure the patient receives urgent care sooner. Here we present a novel method for ambulance demand prediction using Gaussian process regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Seth Nabarro , Tristan Fletcher , John Shawe-Taylor

We present a novel approach to estimate the delay observed between the occurrence and reporting of rape crimes. We explore spatial, temporal and social effects in sparse aggregated (area-level) and high-dimensional disaggregated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Konstantin Klemmer , Daniel B. Neill , Stephen A. Jarvis

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Central to robot exploration and mapping is the task of persistent localization in environmental fields characterized by spatially correlated measurements. This paper presents a Gaussian process localization (GP-Localize) algorithm that, in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-04-23 Nuo Xu , Kian Hsiang Low , Jie Chen , Keng Kiat Lim , Etkin Baris Ozgul

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

This paper concerns the data-driven sensor deployment problem in large spatiotemporal fields. Traditionally, sensor deployment strategies have been heavily dependent on model-based planning approaches. However, model-based approaches do not…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-04 Jiahong Chen

Empirical time series often contain observational noise. We investigate the effect of this noise on the estimated parameters of models fitted to the data. For data of physiological tremor, i.e. a small amplitude oscillation of the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Timmer