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Accurate and uncertainty-aware trajectory prediction remains a core challenge for autonomous driving, driven by complex multi-agent interactions, diverse scene contexts and the inherently stochastic nature of future motion. Diffusion-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Marion Neumeier , Niklas Roßberg , Michael Botsch , Wolfgang Utschick

Predicting the future behavior of human road users is an important aspect for the development of risk-aware autonomous vehicles. While many models have been developed towards this end, effectively capturing and predicting the variability…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Anna Mészáros , Julian F. Schumann , Javier Alonso-Mora , Arkady Zgonnikov , Jens Kober

Vessel trajectory prediction is a critical component for ensuring maritime traffic safety and avoiding collisions. Due to the inherent uncertainty in vessel behavior, trajectory prediction systems must adopt a multimodal approach to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jin Wenzhe , Tang Haina , Zhang Xudong

Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), enhancing road safety and traffic efficiency. While traditional methods have laid foundational work, modern deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Junwei You , Haotian Shi , Keshu Wu , Keke Long , Sicheng Fu , Sikai Chen , Bin Ran

Recent advances in diffusion models have demonstrated their strong capabilities in generating high-fidelity samples from complex distributions through an iterative refinement process. Despite the empirical success of diffusion models in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Chaoyi Pan , Zeji Yi , Guanya Shi , Guannan Qu

As autonomous driving technology matures, safety and robustness of its key components, including trajectory prediction, is vital. Though real-world datasets, such as Waymo Open Motion, provide realistic recorded scenarios for model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Benjamin Stoler , Ingrid Navarro , Meghdeep Jana , Soonmin Hwang , Jonathan Francis , Jean Oh

Learning priors on trajectory distributions can help accelerate robot motion planning optimization. Given previously successful plans, learning trajectory generative models as priors for a new planning problem is highly desirable. Prior…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Joao Carvalho , An T. Le , Mark Baierl , Dorothea Koert , Jan Peters

Efficient and accurate motion prediction is crucial for ensuring safety and informed decision-making in autonomous driving, particularly under dynamic real-world conditions that necessitate multi-modal forecasts. We introduce TrajFlow, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Qi Yan , Brian Zhang , Yutong Zhang , Daniel Yang , Joshua White , Di Chen , Jiachao Liu , Langechuan Liu , Binnan Zhuang , Shaoshuai Shi , Renjie Liao

The exploration of high-speed movement by robots or road traffic agents is crucial for autonomous driving and navigation. Trajectory prediction at high speeds requires considering historical features and interactions with surrounding…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Ruoyu Wang , Yuanjiang Cao , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Diffusion models have recently shown promise in time series forecasting, particularly for probabilistic predictions. However, they often fail to achieve state-of-the-art point estimation performance compared to regression-based methods.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Hang Ding , Xue Wang , Tian Zhou , Tao Yao

Simulation of autonomous vehicle systems requires that simulated traffic participants exhibit diverse and realistic behaviors. The use of prerecorded real-world traffic scenarios in simulation ensures realism but the rarity of safety…

Path planning for a robotic system in high-dimensional cluttered environments needs to be efficient, safe, and adaptable for different environments and hardware. Conventional methods face high computation time and require extensive…

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Human motion modeling is important for many modern graphics applications, which typically require professional skills. In order to remove the skill barriers for laymen, recent motion generation methods can directly generate human motions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Mingyuan Zhang , Zhongang Cai , Liang Pan , Fangzhou Hong , Xinying Guo , Lei Yang , Ziwei Liu

We describe a robust planning method for autonomous driving that mixes normal and adversarial agent predictions output by a diffusion model trained for motion prediction. We first train a diffusion model to learn an unbiased distribution of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Albert Zhao , Stefano Soatto

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental task in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) and Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), supporting efficient motion planning and real-time traffic safety management. Diffusion models have recently demonstrated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Bingzhang Wang , Kehua Chen , Yinhai Wang

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

Accurate trajectory prediction has long been a major challenge for autonomous driving (AD). Traditional data-driven models predominantly rely on statistical correlations, often overlooking the causal relationships that govern traffic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Bonan Wang , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Guyang Yu , Jiaxun Zhang , Songning Lai , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Recent advances in diffusion models have opened new avenues for research into embodied AI agents and robotics. Despite significant achievements in complex robotic locomotion and skills, mobile manipulation-a capability that requires the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Sixu Yan , Zeyu Zhang , Muzhi Han , Zaijin Wang , Qi Xie , Zhitian Li , Zhehan Li , Hangxin Liu , Xinggang Wang , Song-Chun Zhu