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The aggregation of many independent estimates can outperform the most accurate individual judgment. This centenarian finding, popularly known as the wisdom of crowds, has been applied to problems ranging from the diagnosis of cancer to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Joaquin Navajas , Tamara Niella , Gerry Garbulsky , Bahador Bahrami , Mariano Sigman

Crowdsourcing is an easy, cheap, and fast way to perform large scale quality assessment; however, human judgments are often influenced by cognitive biases, which lowers their credibility. In this study, we focus on cognitive biases…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Shun Ito , Hisashi Kashima

It is very common to observe crowds of individuals solving similar problems with similar information in a largely independent manner. We argue here that crowds can become "smarter," i.e., more efficient and robust, by partially following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Yu Luo , Garud Iyengar , Venkat Venkatasubramanian

Complex systems show the capacity to aggregate information and to display coordinated activity. In the case of social systems the interaction of different individuals leads to the emergence of norms, trends in political positions, opinions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-25 Toni Pérez , Jordi Zamora , Víctor M. Eguíluz

Crowds can often make better decisions than individuals or small groups of experts by leveraging their ability to aggregate diverse information. Question answering sites, such as Stack Exchange, rely on the "wisdom of crowds" effect to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Keith Burghardt , Emanuel F. Alsina , Michelle Girvan , William Rand , Kristina Lerman

In a crowd forecasting system, aggregation is an algorithm that returns aggregated probabilities for each question based on the probabilities provided per question by each individual in the crowd. Various aggregation methods have been…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-18 Yuzhong Huang , Andres Abeliuk , Fred Morstatter , Pavel Atanasov , Aram Galstyan

The outcome of a collective decision-making process, such as crowdsourcing, often relies on the procedure through which the perspectives of its individual members are aggregated. Popular aggregation methods, such as the majority rule, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Hilla Shinitzky , Yuval Shahar , Dan Avraham , Yizhak Vaisman , Yakir Tsizer , Yaniv Leedon

Crowd-sourcing deals with solving problems by assigning them to a large number of non-experts called crowd using their spare time. In these systems, the final answer to the question is determined by summing up the votes obtained from the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Samin Nili Ahmadabadi , Maryam Haghifam , Vahid Shah-Mansouri , Sara Ershadmanesh

On the Web, there is always a need to aggregate opinions from the crowd (as in posts, social networks, forums, etc.). Different mechanisms have been implemented to capture these opinions such as "Like" in Facebook, "Favorite" in Twitter,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Edmond Awad , Jean-François Bonnefon , Martin Caminada , Thomas Malone , Iyad Rahwan

In this work, we present a high-level computational model of IT-mediated crowds for collective intelligence. We introduce the Crowd Capital perspective as an organizational-level model of collective intelligence generation from IT-mediated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-07-02 John Prpic , Piper Jackson , Thai Nguyen

Every day, we judge the probability of propositions. When we communicate graded confidence (e.g. "I am 90% sure"), we enable others to gauge how much weight to attach to our judgment. Ideally, people should share their judgments to reach…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-10 Patrick Stinson , Jasper van den Bosch , Trenton Jerde , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

Judgment aggregation problems form a class of collective decision-making problems represented in an abstract way, subsuming some well known problems such as voting. A collective decision can be reached in many ways, but a direct one-step…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Marija Slavkovik , Wojciech Jamroga

Complex decision-making systems rarely have direct access to the current state of the world and they instead rely on opinions to form an understanding of what the ground truth could be. Even in problems where experts provide opinions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Noyan C. Sevuktekin , Andrew C. Singer

Despite their performance, large language models (LLMs) can inadvertently perpetuate biases found in the data they are trained on. By analyzing LLM responses to bias-eliciting headlines, we find that these models often mirror human biases.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Axel Abels , Tom Lenaerts

This paper is focused on the computational analysis of collective discourse, a collective behavior seen in non-expert content contributions in online social media. We collect and analyze a wide range of real-world collective discourse…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-04-18 Vahed Qazvinian , Dragomir R. Radev

This paper presents the Crowd Score, a novel method to assess the funniness of jokes using large language models (LLMs) as AI judges. Our method relies on inducing different personalities into the LLM and aggregating the votes of the AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Fabricio Goes , Zisen Zhou , Piotr Sawicki , Marek Grzes , Daniel G. Brown

Independent from the still ongoing research in measuring individual intelligence, we anticipate and provide a framework for measuring collective intelligence. Collective intelligence refers to the idea that several individuals can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-07-01 Michel Halmes

Crowdsourcing is a mechanism by means of which groups of people are able to execute a task by sharing ideas, efforts and resources. Thanks to the online technologies, crowdsourcing has become in the last decade an even more utilized process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-16 Daniele Vilone

We propose an agent-based model of collective opinion formation to study the wisdom of crowds under social influence. The opinion of an agent is a continuous positive value, denoting its subjective answer to a factual question. The wisdom…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-25 Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

We propose a probabilistic model to aggregate the answers of respondents answering multiple-choice questions. The model does not assume that everyone has access to the same information, and so does not assume that the consensus answer is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 John McCoy , Drazen Prelec
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