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A widely-used model for determining the long-term health impacts of public health interventions, often called a "multistate lifetable", requires estimates of incidence, case fatality, and sometimes also remission rates, for multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-23 Christopher Jackson , Belen Zapata-Diomedi , James Woodcock

We propose a Bayesian model that predicts recovery curves based on information available before the disruptive event. A recovery curve of interest is the quantified sexual function of prostate cancer patients after prostatectomy surgery. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Fulton Wang , Tyler H. McCormick , Cynthia Rudin , John Gore

We propose a restricted win probability estimand for comparing treatments in a randomized trial with a time-to-event outcome. We also propose Bayesian estimators for this summary measure as well as the unrestricted win probability. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-06 Michelle Leeberg , Xianghua Luo , Thomas A. Murray

In heterogeneous cohorts and those where censoring by non-primary risks is informative many conventional survival analysis methods are not applicable; the proportional hazards assumption is usually violated at population level and the…

In survival analysis, cure models have gained much importance due to rapid advancements in medical sciences. More recently, a subset of cure models, called destructive cure models, have been studied extensively under competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Sandip Barui

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In survival analysis, traditional models assume all individuals will eventually experience the event of interest. However, advances in therapeutics have led to multiple clinical contexts with potentially curative therapies, and in these…

This paper addresses the problem of identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment in the presence of unmeasured confounding and various types of right-censoring. Examples of these censoring mechanisms are administrative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Ilias Willems , Sara Rutten , Gilles Crommen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Since survival data occur over time, often important covariates that we wish to consider also change over time. Such covariates are referred as time-dependent covariates. Quantile regression offers flexible modeling of survival data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-01 Malka Gorfine , Yair Goldberg , Yaacov Ritov

We discuss a shift in perspective from traditional approaches to breast cancer risk prediction: modelling families rather than individuals as unit of analysis. By investigating the latent familial risk underlying breast cancer diagnoses, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-25 Maria Veronica Vinattieri , Marco Bonetti , Kamila Czene

In this paper we consider the current status continuous mark model where, if the event takes place before an inspection time $T$ a "continuous mark" variable is observed as well. A Bayesian nonparametric method is introduced for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank van der Meulen , Lixue Pang

This study proposes a mixture cure model that latently divides a population based on event occurrence within a finite time horizon. Conventional models rely on event occurrence over an infinite horizon, introducing untestable assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yuji Komiyama , Yasumasa Matsuda , Masakazu Ishihara

The real-world testing of decisions made using causal machine learning models is an essential prerequisite for their successful application. We focus on evaluating and improving contextual treatment assignment decisions: these are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Desi R. Ivanova , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Adam Foster

Retrospective cohorts can be extracted from Electronic Health Records (EHR) to study prevalence, time until disease or event occurrence and cure proportion in real world scenarios. However, EHR are collected for patient care rather than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Matilda Pitt , Robert J. B. Goudie

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

From a systems biology perspective the majority of cancer models, although interesting and providing a qualitative explanation of some problems, have a major disadvantage in that they usually miss a genuine connection with experimental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Zuzanna Szymańska , Jakub Skrzeczkowski , Błażej Miasojedow , Piotr Gwiazda

This paper proposes a generalization of Gaussian mixture models, where the mixture weight is allowed to behave as an unknown function of time. This model is capable of successfully capturing the features of the data, as demonstrated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Michel H. Montoril , Leandro T. Correia , Helio S. Migon

A challenge when dealing with survival analysis data is accounting for a cure fraction, meaning that some subjects will never experience the event of interest. Mixture cure models have been frequently used to estimate both the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Eni Musta , Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao
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