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The study of a machine learning problem is in many ways is difficult to separate from the study of the loss function being used. One avenue of inquiry has been to look at these loss functions in terms of their properties as scoring rules…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Zac Cranko , Robert C. Williamson , Richard Nock

Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions in the absence of interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Anish Dhir , Ruby Sedgwick , Avinash Kori , Ben Glocker , Mark van der Wilk

Entropy has emerged as a dynamic, interdisciplinary, and widely accepted quantitative measure of uncertainty across different disciplines. A unified understanding of entropy measures, supported by a detailed review of their theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Naveen Kumar , Ambesh Dixit , Vivek Vijay

This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

Necessary and sufficient conditions are explored for the asymptotic stability and instability of linear two-dimensional autonomous systems of fractional-order differential equations with Caputo derivatives. Fractional-order-dependent and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Oana Brandibur , Eva Kaslik

The knockoffs is a recently proposed powerful framework that effectively controls the false discovery rate (FDR) for variable selection. However, none of the existing knockoff solutions are directly suited to handle multivariate or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Xinghao Qiao , Mingya Long , Qizhai Li

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

This paper considers enforcing safety and stability of dynamical systems in the presence of model uncertainty. Safety and stability constraints may be specified using a control barrier function (CBF) and a control Lyapunov function (CLF),…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Kehan Long , Yinzhuang Yi , Jorge Cortes , Nikolay Atanasov

Modern nonlinear control theory seeks to endow systems with properties such as stability and safety, and has been deployed successfully across various domains. Despite this success, model uncertainty remains a significant challenge in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-02 Andrew J. Taylor , Victor D. Dorobantu , Sarah Dean , Benjamin Recht , Yisong Yue , Aaron D. Ames

Necessary and sufficient stability and instability conditions are obtained for multi-term homogeneous linear fractional differential equations with three Caputo derivatives and constant coefficients. In both cases,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Oana Brandibur , Eva Kaslik

We analyze phase transitions in the conditional entropy of a sequence caused by a change in the conditional variables. Such transitions happen, for example, when training to learn the parameters of a system, since the transition from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Kang Gao , Bertrand Hochwald

An approach to fault isolation that exploits vastly incomplete models is presented. It relies on separate descriptions of each component behavior, together with the links between them, which enables focusing of the reasoning to the relevant…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Didier Cayrac , Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

This paper deals with uncertainty quantification and out-of-distribution detection in deep learning using Bayesian and ensemble methods. It proposes a practical solution to the lack of prediction diversity observed recently for standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Antoine de Mathelin , François Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

In recurrent survival analysis where the event of interest can occur multiple times for each subject, frailty models play a crucial role by capturing unobserved heterogeneity at the subject level within a population. Frailty models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Borna Bateni , Peyman Bateni , Bishwadeep Bhattacharyya , Devin Reeh

Continuous improvement in medical imaging techniques allows the acquisition of higher-resolution images. When these are used in a predictive setting, a greater number of explanatory variables are potentially related to the dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Tuan-Binh Nguyen , Jérôme-Alexis Chevalier , Bertrand Thirion

The dynamics of complex-valued fractional-order neuronal networks are investigated, focusing on stability, instability and Hopf bifurcations. Sufficient conditions for the asymptotic stability and instability of a steady state of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Eva Kaslik , Ileana Rodica Radulescu

The state-of-the art proof of a global inf-sup condition on mixed finite element schemes does not allow for an analysis of truly indefinite, second-order linear elliptic PDEs. This paper, therefore, first analyses a nonconforming finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Carsten Carstensen , Asha K. Dond , Neela Nataraj , Amiya K. Pani

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

We consider the problem of learning parameters of latent variable models from mixed (continuous and ordinal) data with missing values. We propose a novel Bayesian Gaussian copula factor (BGCF) approach that is consistent under certain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Ruifei Cui , Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Perry Groot , Tom Heskes

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski
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