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Probabilistic forecasting is crucial for real-world spatiotemporal systems, such as climate, energy, and urban environments, where quantifying uncertainty is essential for informed, risk-aware decision-making. While diffusion models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Yudi Zhang , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Learning dynamical systems from sparse observations is critical in numerous fields, including biology, finance, and physics. Even if tackling such problems is standard in general information fusion, it remains challenging for contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Ella Tamir , Arno Solin

Realistic temporal dynamics are crucial for many video generation, processing and modelling applications, e.g. in computational fluid dynamics, weather prediction, or long-term climate simulations. Video diffusion models (VDMs) are the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Philipp Hess , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Christof Schötz , Michael Aich , Yu Huang , Shangshang Yang , Niklas Boers

Safe, reliable navigation in extreme, unfamiliar terrain is required for future robotic space exploration missions. Recent generative-AI methods learn semantically aware navigation policies from large, cross-embodiment datasets, but offer…

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

We propose Drift-Resistant Navigation World Model, a generative model that mitigates both perceptual drift and geometric drift in conventional rollout-based navigation world models. Existing methods recursively feed generated content into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Po-Chien Luan , Zimin Xia , Wuyang Li , Yang Gao , Alexandre Alahi

The task of determining the origin of a drifting object after it has been located is highly complex due to the uncertainties in drift properties and environmental forcing (wind, waves and surface currents). Usually the origin is inferred by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Øyvind Breivik , Tor Christian Bekkvik , Atle Ommundsen , Cecilie Wettre

Model-based reinforcement learning methods often use learning only for the purpose of estimating an approximate dynamics model, offloading the rest of the decision-making work to classical trajectory optimizers. While conceptually simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Michael Janner , Yilun Du , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Sergey Levine

Context plays a significant role in the generation of motion for dynamic agents in interactive environments. This work proposes a modular method that utilises a learned model of the environment for motion prediction. This modularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Todor Davchev , Michael Burke , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Wendi Li , Xiao Yang , Weiqing Liu , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian

Automated parking is a critical feature of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS), where accurate trajectory prediction is essential to bridge perception and planning modules. Despite its significance, research in this domain remains…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Jiarong Wei , Niclas Vödisch , Anna Rehr , Christian Feist , Abhinav Valada

Efficient and accurate motion prediction is crucial for ensuring safety and informed decision-making in autonomous driving, particularly under dynamic real-world conditions that necessitate multi-modal forecasts. We introduce TrajFlow, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Qi Yan , Brian Zhang , Yutong Zhang , Daniel Yang , Joshua White , Di Chen , Jiachao Liu , Langechuan Liu , Binnan Zhuang , Shaoshuai Shi , Renjie Liao

Decision-making, motion planning, and trajectory prediction are crucial in autonomous driving systems. By accurately forecasting the movements of other road users, the decision-making capabilities of the autonomous system can be enhanced,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Mais Jamal , Aleksandr Panov

Guiding unconditional diffusion models typically requires either retraining with conditional inputs or per-step gradient computations (e.g., classifier-based guidance), both of which incur substantial computational overhead. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Qingsong Wang , Mikhail Belkin , Yusu Wang

Deep learning-based trajectory prediction models have demonstrated promising capabilities in capturing complex interactions. However, their out-of-distribution generalization remains a significant challenge, particularly due to unbalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kumar Manas , Christian Schlauch , Adrian Paschke , Christian Wirth , Nadja Klein

Traversing terrain with good traction is crucial for achieving fast off-road navigation. Instead of manually designing costs based on terrain features, existing methods learn terrain properties directly from data via self-supervision to…

We propose a novel hierarchical diffusion planner that embeds task and motion structure directly into the noise model. Unlike standard diffusion-based planners that rely on zero-mean, isotropic Gaussian corruption, we introduce…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Amelie Minji Kim , Anqi Wu , Ye Zhao

Recent advances have introduced diffusion models for probabilistic streamflow forecasting, demonstrating strong early flood-warning skill. However, current implementations rely on recurrent Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) backbones and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yihan Wang , Annan Yu , Lujun Zhang , Charuleka Varadharajan , N. Benjamin Erichson

Many real-world machine learning tasks require outputs that satisfy hard constraints, such as physical conservation laws, structured dependencies in graphs, or column-level relationships in tabular data. Existing approaches rely either on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Pantelis Dogoulis , Fabien Bernier , Félix Fourreau , Karim Tit , Maxime Cordy

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim