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Link prediction in multilayer networks is a key challenge in applications such as recommendation systems and protein-protein interaction prediction. While many techniques have been developed, most rely on assumptions about shared structures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-17 Yongqin Qiu , Xinyu Zhang

This paper begins with a general theory of error in cross-validation testing of algorithms for supervised learning from examples. It is assumed that the examples are described by attribute-value pairs, where the values are symbolic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

E-values and E-processes (nonnegative supermartingales) provide anytime-valid evidence for sequential testing via Ville's inequality, yet their connection to Bayesian reasoning, representational structure, and computational feasibility are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

Sequential decision making significantly speeds up research and is more cost-effective compared to fixed-n methods. We present a method for sequential decision making for stratified count data that retains Type-I error guarantee or false…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-23 Rosanne J. Turner , Peter D. Grünwald

Quantum computing will change the way we tackle certain problems. It promises to dramatically speed-up many chemical, financial, and machine-learning applications. However, to capitalize on those promises, complex design flows composed of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Lukas Burgholzer , Robert Wille

Code LLMs still struggle with code execution reasoning, especially in smaller models. Existing methods rely on supervised fine-tuning (SFT) with teacher-generated explanations, primarily in two forms: (1) input-output (I/O) prediction…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Lingxiao Tang , He Ye , Zhaoyang Chu , Muyang Ye , Zhongxin Liu , Xiaoxue Ren , Lingfeng Bao

This study extensively compares conventional machine learning methods and deep learning for condition monitoring tasks using an AutoML toolbox. The experiments reveal consistent high accuracy in random K-fold cross-validation scenarios…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Payman Goodarzi , Andreas Schütze , Tizian Schneider

A reliable prediction of 3D protein structures from sequence data remains a big challenge due to both theoretical and computational difficulties. We have previously shown that our kinetostatic compliance method (KCM) implemented into the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Pouya Tavousi , Morad Behandish , Horea T. Ilies , Kazem Kazerounian

Policy evaluation is a core component of many reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms and a critical tool for ensuring safe deployment of RL policies. However, existing policy evaluation methods often suffer from high variance or bias. To…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Shripad Vilasrao Deshmukh , Will Schwarzer , Scott Niekum

Adaptive clinical trials rely on interim analyses, flexible stopping, and data-dependent design modifications that complicate statistical guarantees when fixed-horizon test statistics are repeatedly inspected or reused after adaptations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Alexandra Sokolova , Vadim Sokolov

In this paper, we propose a practical Bayesian framework for the calibration and validation of a computer code, and apply it to a case study concerning the energy consumption forecasting of a building. Validation allows to quantify…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-11 M. Keller , G. Damblin , A. Pasanisi , M. Schuman , P. Barbillon , F. Ruggeri , E. Parent

Recently, new methods for model assessment, based on subsampling and posterior approximations, have been proposed for scaling leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO) to large datasets. Although these methods work well for estimating predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-12 Måns Magnusson , Michael Riis Andersen , Johan Jonasson , Aki Vehtari

While deep learning is an exciting new technique, the benefits of this method need to be assessed with respect to its computational cost. This is particularly important for deep learning since these learners need hours (to weeks) to train…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Wei Fu , Tim Menzies

The MDR-EFE method of performing identification of relevant factors within a given collection X_1,...,X_n is developed for stratified samples in the case of binary response variable Y. We establish a criterion of strong consistency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Alexander Bulinski , Alexey Kozhevin

In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for empirical risk minimizers. In the general setting, we prove sanity-check bounds in the spirit of \cite{KR99}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-02 Matthieu Cornec

The decision to incorporate cross-validation into validation processes of mathematical models raises an immediate question - how should one partition the data into calibration and validation sets? We answer this question systematically: we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-31 Rebecca Morrison , Corey Bryant , Gabriel Terejanu , Kenji Miki , Serge Prudhomme

Cross-validation is widely used for selecting among a family of learning rules. This paper studies a related method, called aggregated hold-out (Agghoo), which mixes cross-validation with aggregation; Agghoo can also be related to bagging.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Guillaume Maillard , Sylvain Arlot , Matthieu Lerasle

In many scientific applications, hypotheses are generated and tested continuously in a stream. We develop a framework for improving online multiple testing procedures with false discovery rate (FDR) control under arbitrary dependence. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Ziyu Xu , Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

Electroencephalography provides a non-invasive and cost-effective approach for analyzing neural patterns associated with alcohol dependence. However, reported classification performance in EEG-based alcoholism studies varies considerably,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Tahir Cetin Akinci , Yuksel Celik , Omer Faruk Ertugrul

Decision trees are a commonly used class of machine learning models valued for their interpretability and versatility, capable of both classification and regression. We propose ZTree, a novel decision tree learning framework that replaces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Eric Cheng , Jie Cheng