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This paper presents a new perspective on time series forecasting. In existing time series forecasting methods, the models take a sequence of numerical values as input and yield numerical values as output. The existing SOTA models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Hao Xue , Flora D. Salim

State space models, such as Mamba, have recently garnered attention in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture sequence patterns. However, in electricity consumption benchmarks, Mamba forecasts exhibit a mean error of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Pedro Pessoa , Paul Campitelli , Douglas P. Shepherd , S. Banu Ozkan , Steve Pressé

We introduce LatentTimePFN (LaT-PFN), a foundational Time Series model with a strong embedding space that enables zero-shot forecasting. To achieve this, we perform in-context learning in latent space utilizing a novel integration of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Stijn Verdenius , Andrea Zerio , Roy L. M. Wang

The stock market plays a pivotal role in economic development, yet its intricate volatility poses challenges for investors. Consequently, research and accurate predictions of stock price movements are crucial for mitigating risks.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Zhuangwei Shi

The electricity sector is undergoing substantial transformations due to the rising electrification of demand, enhanced integration of renewable energy resources, and the emergence of new technologies. These changes are rendering the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Ali Menati , Fatemeh Doudi , Dileep Kalathil , Le Xie

Long-term forecasting of chaotic systems remains a fundamental challenge due to the intrinsic sensitivity to initial conditions and the complex geometry of strange attractors. Conventional approaches, such as reservoir computing, typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Chang Liu , Bohao Zhao , Jingtao Ding , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Accurate traffic prediction plays a vital role in intelligent transportation systems by enabling efficient routing, congestion mitigation, and proactive traffic control. However, forecasting is challenging due to the combined effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Mohamed Hamad , Mohamed Mabrok , Nizar Zorba

Over the past years, foundation models have caused a paradigm shift in machine learning due to their unprecedented capabilities for zero-shot and few-shot generalization. However, despite the success of foundation models in modalities such…

In recent years, Transformers have become the de-facto architecture for long-term sequence forecasting (LTSF), but faces challenges such as quadratic complexity and permutation invariant bias. A recent model, Mamba, based on selective state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Xiuding Cai , Yaoyao Zhu , Xueyao Wang , Yu Yao

Transformers have widely adopted attention networks for sequence mixing and MLPs for channel mixing, playing a pivotal role in achieving breakthroughs across domains. However, recent literature highlights issues with attention networks,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Badri N. Patro , Vijay S. Agneeswaran

Medical time series, such as electrocardiograms (ECG) and electroencephalograms (EEG), exhibit complex temporal dynamics and structured cross-channel dependencies, posing fundamental challenges for automated analysis. Conventional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 ZhengXiao He , Huayu Li , Xiwen Chen , Janet M Roveda , Jinghao Wen , Siyuan Tian , Ao Li

Time series data plays a pivotal role in a wide variety of fields but faces challenges related to privacy concerns. Recently, synthesizing data via diffusion models is viewed as a promising solution. However, existing methods still struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Zihao Yao , Jiankai Zuo , Yaying Zhang

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

Traffic forecasting requires modeling complex temporal dynamics and long-range spatial dependencies over large sensor networks. Existing methods typically face a trade-off between expressiveness and efficiency: Transformer-based models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Xinjin Li , Jinghan Cao , Mengyue Wang , Yue Wu , Longxiang Yan , Yeyang Zhou , Ziqi Sha , Yu Ma

Learning time series foundation models has been shown to be a promising approach for zero-shot time series forecasting across diverse time series domains. Insofar as scaling has been a critical driver of performance of foundation models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Xinghong Fu , Yanhong Li , Georgios Papaioannou , Yoon Kim

Medical time series are central to healthcare, enabling continuous monitoring and supporting timely clinical decisions. Despite recent progress, existing methods struggle to jointly model local-global dynamics and handle nonstationarities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhiyuan Zhao , Hongyuan Zhang , Junyu Gao , Xuelong Li

Accurate weather forecasting across time scales is critical for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recent data-driven methods based on deep learning have achieved significant success in the medium range, but struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Tung Nguyen , Tuan Pham , Troy Arcomano , Veerabhadra Kotamarthi , Ian Foster , Sandeep Madireddy , Aditya Grover

Predicting future values in multivariate time series is vital across various domains. This work explores the use of large language models (LLMs) for this task. However, LLMs typically handle one-dimensional data. We introduce MultiCast, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Georgios Chatzigeorgakidis , Konstantinos Lentzos , Dimitrios Skoutas

In recent years, Transformers have become the de-facto architecture for sequence modeling on text and a variety of multi-dimensional data, such as images and video. However, the use of self-attention layers in a Transformer incurs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Shufan Li , Harkanwar Singh , Aditya Grover

In the field of self-supervised depth estimation, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Transformers have traditionally been dominant. However, both architectures struggle with efficiently handling long-range dependencies due to their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Ionuţ Grigore , Călin-Adrian Popa