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For many scientific inverse problems we are required to evaluate an expensive forward model. Moreover, the model is often given in such a form that it is unrealistic to access its gradients. In such a scenario, standard Markov Chain Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-21 Richard D. P. Grumitt , Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

The ability to make accurate predictions with quantified uncertainty provides a crucial foundation for the successful management of a geothermal reservoir. Conventional approaches for making predictions using geothermal reservoir models…

Many parameter estimation problems arising in applications are best cast in the framework of Bayesian inversion. This allows not only for an estimate of the parameters, but also for the quantification of uncertainties in the estimates.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Emmet Cleary , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Shiwei Lan , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M Stuart

The interaction between the foundation structures and the soil has been developed for many engineering applications. For the determination of the stress in foundation structure it is needed to determine the influence of the stiffness of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Leonardo Scandurra

Ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) is an ensemble-based method to solve inverse problems. Its gradient-free formulation makes it an attractive tool for problems with involved formulation. However, EKI suffers from the ''subspace property'',…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Shuigen Liu , Sebastian Reich , Xin T. Tong

Global ocean models exhibit biases in the mean state and variability, particularly at coarse resolution, where mesoscale eddies are unresolved. To address these biases, parameterization coefficients are typically tuned ad hoc. Here, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Pavel Perezhogin , Alistair Adcroft , Laure Zanna

In this paper, the ensemble consider Kalman filter is proposed to mitigate the negative effects of uncertain parameters in nonlinear dynamic and measurement models. The ensemble Kalman filter can avoid using the Jacobian matrices and reduce…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-18 Tai-shan Lou , Nan-hua Chen , Hua Xiong , Ya-xi Li , Lei Wang

In the geophysical joint inversion, the gradient and Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling-based methods are widely used owing to their fast convergences or global optimality. However, these methods either require the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-08-04 Longlong Wang , Yun Chen , Youshan Liu , Nanqiao Du , Wei Li , Junliu Suwen

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) belongs to the class of iterative particle filtering methods and can be used for solving control--to--observable inverse problems. In this context, the EnKF is known as Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI). In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Dieter Armbruster , Michael Herty , Giuseppe Visconti

Geothermal field modeling is often associated with uncertainties related to the subsurface static properties and the dynamics of fluid flow and heat transfer. Uncertainty quantification using simulations is a useful tool to design optimum…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-13 Hussein Hoteit , Xupeng He , Bicheng Yan , Volker Vahrenkam

Enforcing sparse structure within learning has led to significant advances in the field of data-driven discovery of dynamical systems. However, such methods require access not only to time-series of the state of the dynamical system, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

The unscented Kalman inversion (UKI) method presented in [1] is a general derivative-free approach for the inverse problem. UKI is particularly suitable for inverse problems where the forward model is given as a black box and may not be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Daniel Z. Huang , Jiaoyang Huang

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) has been a very popular algorithm used in Bayesian inverse problems. It samples particles from a prior distribution, and introduces a motion to move the particles around in pseudo-time. As the pseudo-time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

Sediment deposits are the only leftover records from paleo tsunami events. Therefore, inverse modeling method based on the information contained in the deposit is an indispensable way of deciphering the quantitative characteristics of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-01-18 Jian-Xun Wang , Hui Tang , Heng Xiao , Robert Weiss

Parameter estimation has a high importance in the geosciences. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) allows parameter estimation for large, time-dependent systems. For large systems, the EnKF is applied using small ensembles, which may lead to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-05 Johannes Keller , Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen , Wolfgang Nowak

In the process of reproducing the state dynamics of parameter dependent distributed systems, data from physical measurements can be incorporated into the mathematical model to reduce the parameter uncertainty and, consequently, improve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Martin Grepl , Karen Veroy

Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart

Ensemble Kalman methods are widely used for state estimation in the geophysical sciences. Their success stems from the fact that they take an underlying (possibly noisy) dynamical system as a black box to provide a systematic,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Edoardo Calvello , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) has been proposed as an efficient method for the approximate solution of Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward models. However, when applied to the Bayesian inverse problem EKI is only exact in the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-19 Richard D. P. Grumitt , Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

Frequency-domain electromagnetic (FDEM) data of the subsurface are determined by electrical conductivity and magnetic susceptibility. We apply a Kalman Ensemble generator (KEG) to one-dimensional probabilistic multi-layer inversion of FDEM…