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We consider the problem of providing optimal uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- and hence rigorous certification --- for partially-observed functions. We present a UQ framework within which the observations may be small or large in number,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 T. J. Sullivan , M. McKerns , D. Meyer , F. Theil , H. Owhadi , M. Ortiz

For linear inverse problems with a large number of unknown parameters, uncertainty quantification remains a challenging task. In this work, we use Krylov subspace methods to approximate the posterior covariance matrix and describe efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Arvind K. Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Katrina Petroske

We propose a novel framework for joint magnetic resonance image reconstruction and uncertainty quantification using under-sampled k-space measurements. The problem is formulated as a Bayesian linear inverse problem, where prior…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Ahmed Karam Eldaly , Matteo Figini , Daniel C. Alexander

Data Assimilation (DA) and Uncertainty quantification (UQ) are extensively used in analysing and reducing error propagation in high-dimensional spatial-temporal dynamics. Typical applications span from computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to…

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Due to the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ), Bayesian approach to inverse problems has recently gained popularity in applied mathematics, physics, and engineering. However, traditional Bayesian inference methods based on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Babak Shahbaba

Machine learning (ML) is often viewed as a powerful data analysis tool that is easy to learn because of its black-box nature. Yet this very nature also makes it difficult to quantify confidence in predictions extracted from ML models, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Paul Patrone , Anthony Kearsley

A framework is developed based on different uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques in order to assess validation and verification (V&V) metrics in computational physics problems, in general, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD), in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Ricardo Vinuesa , Philipp Schlatter

The design of next-generation alloys through the Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) approach relies on multi-scale computer simulations to provide thermodynamic properties when experiments are difficult to conduct.…

Quantizing deep convolutional neural networks for image super-resolution substantially reduces their computational costs. However, existing works either suffer from a severe performance drop in ultra-low precision of 4 or lower bit-widths,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Cheeun Hong , Heewon Kim , Sungyong Baik , Junghun Oh , Kyoung Mu Lee

Large Language Models (LLMs) have become indispensable tools across various applications, making it more important than ever to ensure the quality and the trustworthiness of their outputs. This has led to growing interest in uncertainty…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Roman Vashurin , Maiya Goloburda , Preslav Nakov , Maxim Panov

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for creating trustworthy machine learning models. Recent years have seen a steep rise in UQ methods that can flag suspicious examples, however, it is often unclear what exactly these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Hao Sun , Boris van Breugel , Jonathan Crabbe , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

A particularly challenging problem in AI safety is providing guarantees on the behavior of high-dimensional autonomous systems. Verification approaches centered around reachability analysis fail to scale, and purely statistical approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Souradeep Dutta , Michele Caprio , Vivian Lin , Matthew Cleaveland , Kuk Jin Jang , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a critical aspect of artificial intelligence (AI) systems, particularly in high-risk domains such as healthcare, autonomous systems, and financial technology, where decision-making processes must account…

This paper studies the non-parametric estimation and uniform inference for the conditional quantile regression function (CQRF) with covariates exposed to measurement errors. We consider the case that the distribution of the measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Haoze Hou , Wei Huang , Zheng Zhang

Differential dynamic microscopy (DDM) is a form of video image analysis that combines the sensitivity of scattering and the direct visualization benefits of microscopy. DDM is broadly useful in determining dynamical properties including the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-04-12 Mengyang Gu , Yimin Luo , Yue He , Matthew E. Helgeson , Megan T. Valentine

OOD detection has become more pertinent with advances in network design and increased task complexity. Identifying which parts of the data a given network is misclassifying has become as valuable as the network's overall performance. We can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Rishi Singhal , Srinath Srinivasan

Analytical expressions for covariances of weak lensing statistics related to the aperture mass $\Map$ are derived for realistic survey geometries such as SNAP for a range of smoothing angles and redshift bins. We incorporate the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

Scientific Machine Learning is a new class of approaches that integrate physical knowledge and mechanistic models with data-driven techniques for uncovering governing equations of complex processes. Among the available approaches, Universal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Nina Schmid , David Fernandes del Pozo , Willem Waegeman , Jan Hasenauer