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The concepts of Bayesian prediction, model comparison, and model selection have developed significantly over the last decade. As a result, the Bayesian community has witnessed a rapid growth in theoretical and applied contributions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Yann McLatchie , Sölvi Rögnvaldsson , Frank Weber , Aki Vehtari

For obtaining causal inferences that are objective, and therefore have the best chance of revealing scientific truths, carefully designed and executed randomized experiments are generally considered to be the gold standard. Observational…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Donald B. Rubin

We analyze different types of simulations that applied researchers can use to assess whether their inference methods reliably control false-positive rates. We show that different assessments involve trade-offs, varying in the types of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Bruno Ferman

While there exists a large amount of literature on the general challenges of and best practices for trustworthy online A/B testing, there are limited studies on sample size estimation, which plays a crucial role in trustworthy and efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Jing Zhou , Jiannan Lu , Anas Shallah

The odds theorem and the corresponding solution algorithm (odds algorithm) are tools to solve a wide range of optimal stopping problems. Its generality and tractability have caught much attention. (Google for instance "Bruss odds" to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-07 Rémi Dendievel

This PhD thesis covers breakthroughs in several areas of adaptive experiment design: (i) (Chapter 2) Novel clinical trial designs and statistical methods in the era of precision medicine. (ii) (Chapter 3) Multi-armed bandit theory, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-20 Michael Sklar

Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The field's inherently interdisciplinary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Carlos Cinelli , Avi Feller , Guido Imbens , Edward Kennedy , Sara Magliacane , Jose Zubizarreta

Over the past two decades, the field of high-dimensional statistics has experienced substantial progress, driven largely by technological advances that have dramatically reduced the cost and effort for data collection and storage across a…

Intersection types have been originally developed as an extension of simple types, but they can also be used for refining simple types. In this survey we concentrate on the latter option; more precisely, on the use of intersection types for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-24 Paweł Parys

When conducting a paired $2\times2$ crossover design, each subject is paired with another subject with similar characteristics. The pair is then randomized to the same sequence of two treatments. That is, the two subjects receive the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Laura J. Simon , Vernon M. Chinchilli

The genetic algorithm (GA) is an optimization and search technique based on the principles of genetics and natural selection. A GA allows a population composed of many individuals to evolve under specified selection rules to a state that…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-14 Yılmaz Kaya , Murat Uyar , Ramazan Tek\D{j}n

This paper is about how we study statistical methods. As an example, it uses the random regressions model, in which the intercept and slope of cluster-specific regression lines are modeled as a bivariate random effect. Maximizing this…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-05-22 James S. Hodges

This paper traces the strong relations between experimental design and control, such as the use of optimal inputs to obtain precise parameter estimation in dynamical systems and the introduction of suitably designed perturbations in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-03 Luc Pronzato

Causal inference methods (instrumental variables, difference-in-differences, regression discontinuity, etc.) are primary tools used across many social science milieus. One area where their application has lagged however, is in the study of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Samuele Centorrino , Christopher F. Parmeter

Since prior work has identified that cultural differences influence user design preferences and interaction methods, as well as emphasizing the need to reflect on the appropriateness of popular HCI principles, we believe that it is equally…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Garreth W. Tigwell , Kristen Shinohara , Laleh Nourian

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

The causal assumptions, the study design and the data are the elements required for scientific inference in empirical research. The research is adequately communicated only if all of these elements and their relations are described…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Juha Karvanen

Response surface designs are usually described as being run under complete randomization of the treatment combinations to the experimental units. In practice, however, it is often necessary or beneficial to run them under some kind of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-25 Luzia A. Trinca , Steven G. Gilmour

Prescriptive Analytics (PSA), an emerging business analytics field suggesting concrete options for solving business problems, has seen an increasing amount of interest after more than a decade of multidisciplinary research. This paper is a…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Martin Moesmann , Torben Bach Pedersen

Subsampling is commonly used to overcome computational and economical bottlenecks in the analysis of finite populations and massive datasets. Existing methods are often limited in scope and use optimality criteria (e.g., A-optimality) with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Henrik Imberg , Marina Axelson-Fisk , Johan Jonasson