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Probabilistic forecasting of time series is an important matter in many applications and research fields. In order to draw conclusions from a probabilistic forecast, we must ensure that the model class used to approximate the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Philipp F. M. Baumann , Thomas Kneib , Torsten Hothorn

Archives play a crucial role in preserving information and knowledge, and the exponential growth of such data necessitates efficient and automated tools for managing and utilizing archive information resources. Archival applications involve…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Shitou Zhang , Jingrui Hou , Siyuan Peng , Zuchao Li , Qibiao Hu , Ping Wang

Building a good predictive model requires an array of activities such as data imputation, feature transformations, estimator selection, hyper-parameter search and ensemble construction. Given the large, complex and heterogenous space of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Udayan Khurana , Horst Samulowitz

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems account for a substantial share of global building energy use, making reliable anomaly detection essential for improving efficiency and reducing emissions. Classical rule-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Subin Lin , Chuanbo Hua

Legal judgment prediction is essential for enhancing judicial efficiency. In this work, we identify that existing large language models (LLMs) underperform in this domain due to challenges in understanding case complexities and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Chenlong Deng , Kelong Mao , Yuyao Zhang , Zhicheng Dou

A modern aircraft may require on the order of thousands of custom shims to fill gaps between structural components in the airframe that arise due to manufacturing tolerances adding up across large structures. These shims are necessary to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-18 Krithika Manohar , Thomas Hogan , Jim Buttrick , Ashis G. Banerjee , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton

With the rapid evolution of Large Language Models (LLMs) and their large-scale experimentation in cloud-computing spaces, the challenge of guaranteeing their security and efficiency in a failure scenario has become a main issue. To ensure…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yihong Jin , Ze Yang , Xinhe Xu , Yihan Zhang , Shuyang Ji

Current deep regression models usually learn in a point-wise way that treats each sample as an independent input, neglecting the relative ordering among different data. Consequently, the regression model could neglect the data's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Fuhang Liang , Rucong Xu , Deng Lin

High-quality reconstruction of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) fields is critical for Atmosphere monitoring, yet current models remain constrained by the scarcity of complete training data and a lack of uncertainty quantification.To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Linhao Fan , Hongqiang Fang , Jingyang Dai , Yong Jiang , Qixing Zhang

The atmosphere affects humans in a multitude of ways, from loss of life due to adverse weather effects to long-term social and economic impacts on societies. Computer simulations of atmospheric dynamics are, therefore, of great importance…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-13 Christian Lessig , Ilaria Luise , Bing Gong , Michael Langguth , Scarlet Stadtler , Martin Schultz

Machine learning for weather prediction increasingly relies on ensemble methods to provide probabilistic forecasts. Diffusion-based models have shown strong performance in Limited-Area Modeling (LAM) but remain computationally expensive at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

The rapid growth of spatial data urges the research community to find efficient processing techniques for interactive queries on large volumes of data. Approximate Query Processing (AQP) is the most prominent technique that can provide…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Tin Vu , Ahmed Eldawy

Learning domain adaptive policies that can generalize to unseen transition dynamics, remains a fundamental challenge in learning-based control. Substantial progress has been made through domain representation learning to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Pengcheng Wang , Qinghang Liu , Haotian Lin , Yiheng Li , Guojian Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Yixiao Wang

Multi-step LLM pipelines can solve complex tasks, but jointly optimizing prompts across steps remains challenging due to missing step-level supervision and inter-step dependency. We propose ADOPT, an adaptive dependency-guided joint prompt…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Minjun Zhao , Xinyu Zhang , Shuai Zhang , Deyang Li , Ruifeng Shi

Generative models such as diffusion models, excel at capturing high-dimensional distributions with diverse input modalities, e.g. robot trajectories, but are less effective at multi-step constraint reasoning. Task and Motion Planning (TAMP)…

Diffusion models have demonstrated strong capabilities for modeling human-like driving behaviors in autonomous driving, but their iterative sampling process induces substantial latency, and operating directly on raw trajectory points forces…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Jinhao Zhang , Wenlong Xia , Zhexuan Zhou , Haoming Song , Youmin Gong , Jie Mei

Large Language Models (LLMs) have reshaped natural language processing, powering applications from multi-hop retrieval and question answering to autonomous agent workflows. Yet, prompt engineering -- the task of crafting textual inputs to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Li Yin , Zhangyang Wang

This paper proposes an informative trajectory planning approach, namely, \textit{adaptive particle filter tree with sigma point-based mutual information reward approximation} (ASPIRe), for mobile target search and tracking (SAT) in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Kangjie Zhou , Pengying Wu , Yao Su , Han Gao , Ji Ma , Hangxin Liu , Chang Liu

Key science questions, such as galaxy distance estimation and weather forecasting, often require knowing the full predictive distribution of a target variable $y$ given complex inputs $\mathbf{x}$. Despite recent advances in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-22 Biprateep Dey , David Zhao , Brett H. Andrews , Jeffrey A. Newman , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee
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