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In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are flexible, nonparametric Bayesian models widely used for regression and classification because of their ability to capture complex data patterns and quantify predictive uncertainty. However, the O(n^3)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Hua Huang , Tianshi Xu , Yuanzhe Xi , Edmond Chow

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

Radial Basis Function (RBF), or Gaussian, kernels are among the most widely used parametric kernels in machine learning, particularly in methods such as Support Vector Machines (SVM) and kernel-based subspace approaches. The kernel…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Lakhdar Remaki

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used for regression and optimization tasks such as Bayesian optimization (BO) due to their expressiveness and principled uncertainty estimates. However, in settings with large datasets corrupted by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Samuel Kaski

Additive Gaussian Processes (GPs) are popular approaches for nonparametric feature selection. The common training method for these models is Bayesian Back-fitting. However, the convergence rate of Back-fitting in training additive GPs is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lu Zou , Liang Ding

Gaussian Process (GP) models are popular tools in uncertainty quantification (UQ) because they purport to furnish functional uncertainty estimates that can be used to represent model uncertainty. It is often difficult to state with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Carlo Graziani , Marieme Ngom

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is widely used in statistics and machine learning for prediction tasks requiring uncertainty measures. Its efficacy depends on the appropriate specification of the mean function, covariance kernel function,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Shifan Zhao , Jiaying Lu , Ji Yang , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

Exact Kriging and conditional simulation (CS) for uncertainty quantification are computationally infeasible for modern spatial analyses with large numbers of observations and dense prediction grids. We present a rapid approximation to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Ziyu Li , Gregory Fasshauer , Douglas Nychka

We present a theoretically grounded Gaussian process framework that leverages neural feature maps to construct expressive kernels. We show that the learned feature map can be interpreted as an optimal low-rank approximation to a Gram matrix…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anthony Stephenson

Retinal prostheses restore vision by electrically stimulating surviving neurons, but calibrating perceptual thresholds (i.e., the minimum stimulus intensity required for perception) remains a time-intensive challenge, especially for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-30 Roksana Sadeghi , Michael Beyeler

Spatial prediction requires expensive computation to invert the spatial covariance matrix it depends on and also has considerable storage needs. This work concentrates on computationally efficient algorithms for prediction using very large…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-11 Roberto Rivera

Over the past decade, a number of algorithms for full-field elastic strain estimation from neutron and X-ray measurements have been published. Many of the recently published algorithms rely on modelling the unknown strain field as a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-10 A. W. T. Gregg , J. N. Hendriks , C. M. Wensrich , N. O'Dell

Current adoption of machine learning in industrial, societal and economical activities has raised concerns about the fairness, equity and ethics of automated decisions. Predictive models are often developed using biased datasets and thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Zhu Li , Adrian Perez-Suay , Gustau Camps-Valls , Dino Sejdinovic

In a Bayesian learning setting, the posterior distribution of a predictive model arises from a trade-off between its prior distribution and the conditional likelihood of observed data. Such distribution functions usually rely on additional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-01 Andrea Schirru , Simone Pampuri , Giuseppe De Nicolao , Sean McLoone

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is widely used for inferring functions from noisy data. GPR crucially relies on the choice of a kernel, which might be specified in terms of a collection of hyperparameters that must be chosen or learned.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-16 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Spatial prediction in an arbitrary location, based on a spatial set of observations, is usually performed by Kriging, being the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) in a least-square sense. In order to predict a continuous surface over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Henning Omre , Mina Spremić

A Gaussian Process (GP) is a prominent mathematical framework for stochastic function approximation in science and engineering applications. This success is largely attributed to the GP's analytical tractability, robustness, non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-19 Marcus M. Noack , Harinarayan Krishnan , Mark D. Risser , Kristofer G. Reyes

Gaussian processes (GPs) enable principled computation of model uncertainty, making them attractive for safety-critical applications. Such scenarios demand that GP decisions are not only accurate, but also robust to perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Andrea Patane , Arno Blaas , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Stephen Roberts , Marta Kwiatkowska