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Emergency Medical Services (EMS) demand load has become a considerable burden for many government authorities, and EMS demand is often an early indicator for stress in communities, a warning sign of emerging problems. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Sam Campbell , Deborah Scott , Dan Lubman

Traditional text embedding benchmarks primarily evaluate embedding models' capabilities to capture semantic similarity. However, more advanced NLP tasks require a deeper understanding of text, such as safety and factuality. These tasks…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Simeng Han , Frank Palma Gomez , Tu Vu , Zefei Li , Daniel Cer , Hansi Zeng , Chris Tar , Arman Cohan , Gustavo Hernandez Abrego

High rate Global Navigation Satellite System (HR GNSS) data can be highly useful for earthquake analysis as it provides continuous high-rate measurements of ground motion. This data can be used to estimate the magnitude, to assess the…

This paper investigates the performance of Echo State Networks (ESNs) for univariate time series forecasting using a subset of the M4 Forecasting Competition dataset. Focusing on monthly and quarterly time series, we evaluate whether a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Alexander Häußer

Earthquake prediction and seismic hazard assessment remain fundamental challenges in geophysics, with existing machine learning approaches often operating as black boxes that ignore established physical laws. We introduce POSEIDON…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Boris Kriuk , Fedor Kriuk

Accurate quantification of Gross Primary Production (GPP) is crucial for understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics. It represents the largest atmosphere-to-land CO$_2$ flux, especially significant for forests. Eddy Covariance (EC)…

With the research directions described in this thesis, we seek to address the critical challenges in designing recommender systems that can understand the dynamics of continuous-time event sequences. We follow a ground-up approach, i.e.,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Vinayak Gupta

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time. Traditional statistical TPPs have a long-standing history, with numerous models proposed and successfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Jie Qiao , Cheng Wan , Yixuan Zhang , Ruichu Cai

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are elegant probabilistic models of repulsion that arise in quantum physics and random matrix theory. In contrast to traditional structured models like Markov random fields, which become intractable and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-11 Alex Kulesza , Ben Taskar

The MyShake project aims to build a global smartphone seismic network to facilitate large-scale earthquake early warning and other applications by leveraging the power of crowdsourcing. The MyShake mobile application first detects…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-09 Qingkai Kong , Robert Martin-Short , Richard M. Allen

Neural Processes (NPs) are popular methods in meta-learning that can estimate predictive uncertainty on target datapoints by conditioning on a context dataset. Previous state-of-the-art method Transformer Neural Processes (TNPs) achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Leo Feng , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Yoshua Bengio , Mohamed Osama Ahmed

Epileptic seizure forecasting, combined with the delivery of preventative therapies, holds the potential to greatly improve the quality of life for epilepsy patients and their caregivers. Forecasting seizures could prevent some potentially…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-18 Nhan Duy Truong , Yikai Yang , Christina Maher , Armin Nikpour , Omid Kavehei

Over the past decades much effort has been devoted towards understanding and forecasting natural hazards. However, earthquake forecasting skill is still very limited and remains a great scientific challenge. The limited earthquake…

Seismic wave arrival time measurements form the basis for numerous downstream applications. State-of-the-art approaches for phase picking use deep neural networks to annotate seismograms at each station independently, yet human experts…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-01 Hongyu Sun , Zachary E. Ross , Weiqiang Zhu , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary modeling paradigm is to treat such data as realizations of a temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Padhraic Smyth

While epidemiological modeling is pivotal for informing public health strategies, a fundamental trade-off limits its predictive fidelity: exact stochastic simulations are often computationally intractable for large-scale systems, whereas…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-09 Cheng Ye , Zi-Song Shen , Pan Zhang

The paper by Taroni et al. (2016) considers results of forward prediction of Italian strong earthquakes by CN algorithm with the declared intent of providing "a careful assessment of CN prediction performances... using standard testing…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-02-07 G. Molchan , A. Peresan , G. F. Panza , L. Romashkova , V. Kossobokov

Accurate earthquake location, which determines the origin time and location of seismic events using phase arrival times or waveforms, is fundamental to earthquake monitoring. While recent deep learning advances have significantly improved…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-18 Weiqiang Zhu , Bo Rong , Yaqi Jie , S. Shawn Wei

Utilizing fault diagnosis methods is crucial for nuclear power professionals to achieve efficient and accurate fault diagnosis for nuclear power plants (NPPs). The performance of traditional methods is limited by their dependence on complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Jiayan Fang , Siwei Li , Yichun Wu