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In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Efficient Reinforcement Learning usually takes advantage of demonstration or good exploration strategy. By applying posterior sampling in model-free RL under the hypothesis of GP, we propose Gaussian Process Posterior Sampling Reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Ying Fan , Letian Chen , Yizhou Wang

We study the problem of performing automated experiment design for drug screening through Bayesian inference and optimisation. In particular, we compare and contrast the behaviour of linear-Gaussian models and Gaussian processes, when used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Hannes Eriksson , Christos Dimitrakakis , Lars Carlsson

Thompson sampling and other Bayesian sequential decision-making algorithms are among the most popular approaches to tackle explore/exploit trade-offs in (contextual) bandits. The choice of prior in these algorithms offers flexibility to…

Gaussian Process (GP) models are popular statistical surrogates used for emulating computationally expensive computer simulators. The quality of a GP model fit can be assessed by a goodness of fit measure based on optimized likelihood.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-27 Andrew Butler , Thomas D. Humphries , Pritam Ranjan , Ronald D. Haynes

We consider online sequential decision problems where an agent must balance exploration and exploitation. We derive a set of Bayesian `optimistic' policies which, in the stochastic multi-armed bandit case, includes the Thompson sampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-01 Brendan O'Donoghue , Tor Lattimore

We investigate the problem of sampling from posterior distributions with intractable normalizing constants in Bayesian inference. Our solution is a new generative modeling approach based on optimal transport (OT) that learns a deterministic…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ke Li , Wei Han , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

Sum-product networks (SPNs) are probabilistic models characterized by exact and fast evaluation of fundamental probabilistic operations. Its superior computational tractability has led to applications in many fields, such as machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Soma Yokoi , Issei Sato

The ability of Gaussian processes (GPs) to predict the behavior of dynamical systems as a more sample-efficient alternative to parametric models seems promising for real-world robotics research. However, the computational complexity of GPs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Abdolreza Taheri , Joni Pajarinen , Reza Ghabcheloo

We propose a novel method for sampling and optimization tasks based on a stochastic interacting particle system. We explain how this method can be used for the following two goals: (i) generating approximate samples from a given target…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-05 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

Recent advances in deep reinforcement learning have made significant strides in performance on applications such as Go and Atari games. However, developing practical methods to balance exploration and exploitation in complex domains remains…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Carlos Riquelme , George Tucker , Jasper Snoek

Gaussian processes (GPs) play an essential role in biostatistics, scientific machine learning, and Bayesian optimization for their ability to provide probabilistic predictions and model uncertainty. However, GP inference struggles to scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Pratik Rathore , Zachary Frangella , Sachin Garg , Shaghayegh Fazliani , Michał Dereziński , Madeleine Udell

Gaussian process (GP) regression provides a strategy for accelerating saddle point searches on high-dimensional energy surfaces by reducing the number of times the energy and its derivatives with respect to atomic coordinates need to be…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-12-03 Rohit Goswami , Hannes Jónsson

Epidemiological models must be calibrated to ground truth for downstream tasks such as producing forward projections or running what-if scenarios. The meaning of calibration changes in case of a stochastic model since output from such a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-15 Arindam Fadikar , Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , Abby Stevens , Kok Ben Toh , Jonathan Ozik

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

Bayesian optimization is a powerful paradigm to optimize black-box functions based on scarce and noisy data. Its data efficiency can be further improved by transfer learning from related tasks. While recent transfer models meta-learn a…

Thompson Sampling (TS) is widely used to address the exploration/exploitation tradeoff in contextual bandits, yet recent theory shows that it does not explore aggressively enough in high-dimensional problems. Feel-Good Thompson Sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Emile Anand , Sarah Liaw

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a prominent approach to optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. The massive computational capability of edge devices such as mobile phones, coupled with privacy concerns, has led to a surging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Zhongxiang Dai , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Thompson sampling (TS) is one of the most popular and earliest algorithms to solve stochastic multi-armed bandit problems. We consider a variant of TS, named $\alpha$-TS, where we use a fractional or $\alpha$-posterior ($\alpha\in(0,1)$)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-13 Prateek Jaiswal , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Bani K. Mallick

High-probability guarantees in stochastic optimization are often obtained only under strong noise assumptions such as sub-Gaussian tails. We show that such guarantees can also be achieved under the weaker assumption of bounded variance by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Jiaming Liang
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