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For a L\'evy process $X$ on a finite time interval consider the probability that it exceeds some fixed threshold $x>0$ while staying below $x$ at the points of a regular grid. We establish exact asymptotic behavior of this probability as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Krzysztof Bisewski , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We construct stationary max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes from systems of randomly time-changed L\'evy particles. Classical examples without time change, such as the Brown-Resnick process, are, up to marginal transformations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Ioan Scheffel

Infinite hidden Markov models provide a flexible framework for modelling time series with structural changes and complex dynamics, without requiring the number of latent states to be specified in advance. This flexibility is achieved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Federico P. Cortese , Luca Rossini

Several long-time limit theorems of one-dimensional L\'evy processes weighted and normalized by functions of its supremum are studied. The long-time limits are taken via the families of exponential times and that of constant times, called…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Shosei Takeda

Using a new approach, for spectrally negative L\'evy processes we find joint Laplace transforms involving the last exit time (from a semi-infinite interval), the value of the process at the last exit time and the associated occupation time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Yingqiu Lia , Chuancun Yin , Xiaowen Zhou

For a spectrally one-sided L\'{e}vy process, we extend various two-sided exit identities to the situation when the process is only observed at arrival epochs of an independent Poisson process. In addition, we consider exit problems of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Hansjörg Albrecher , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider an additive functional driven by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain with a finite state space. Our study focuses on the joint distribution of the two-sided exit time and the state of the driving Markov chain at the time of exit,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Ziteng Cheng , Ruoting Gong

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

In this paper, we study one dimensional Markov processes with spatial delay. Since the seminal work of Feller, we know that virtually any one dimensional, strong, homogeneous, continuous Markov process can be uniquely characterized via its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The Markov evolution is studied of an infinite age-structured population of migrants arriving in and departing from a continuous habitat $X \subseteq\mathds{R}^d$ -- at random and independently of each other. Each population member is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Dominika Jasinska , Yuri Kozitsky

We provide a framework for speeding up algorithms for time-bounded reachability analysis of continuous-time Markov decision processes. The principle is to find a small, but almost equivalent subsystem of the original system and only analyse…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Pranav Ashok , Yuliya Butkova , Holger Hermanns , Jan Křetínský

Ba\~nuelos and Bogdan (2004) and Bogdan, Palmowski and Wang (2016) analyse the asymptotic tail distribution of the first time a stable (L\'evy) process in dimension $d\geq 2$ exists a cone. We use these results to develop the notion of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Victor Rivero , Weerapat Satitkanitkul

The need to model a Markov renewal on-off process with multiple off-states arise in many applications such as economics, physics, and engineering. Characterization of the occupation time of one specific off-state marginally or two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Chaoran Hu , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

In this paper, we study consistent and partially exchangeable sequences of Markov chains on a finite state space. We provide a characterisation of the admissible transition rates via a decomposition into individual and coordinated motion of…

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

We present a simple construction method for Feller processes and a framework for the generation of sample paths of Feller processes. The construction is based on state space dependent mixing of L\'evy processes. Brownian Motion is one of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-07 Björn Böttcher

We study long time behavior of integrated trawl processes introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen. The trawl processes form a class of stationary infinitely divisible processes, described by an infinitely divisible random measure (L\'evy base) and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Anna Talarczyk , Łukasz Treszczotko

In this paper we analyse time change equations (TCEs) for L\'evy-type processes in detail. To this end we establish a connection between TCEs and classical one-dimensional initial value problems (IVPs) which are easier to handle. Properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Paul Krühner , Alexander Schnurr

Several long-time limit theorems of one-dimensional L\'{e}vy processes weighted and normalized by functions of the local time are studied. The long-time limits are taken via certain families of random times, called clocks: exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Shosei Takeda , Kouji Yano

We study the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in a L\'evy environment, where the associated L\'evy process oscillates. Assuming that the L\'evy process satisfies the Spitzer's condition and the existence of some…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Vincent Bansaye , Juan Carlos Pardo , Charline Smadi