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We discuss the foundations of factor or regression models in the light of the self-consistency condition that the market portfolio (and more generally the risk factors) is (are) constituted of the assets whose returns it is (they are)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

This paper proposes a portfolio construction framework designed to remain robust under estimation error, non-stationarity, and realistic trading constraints. The methodology combines dynamic asset eligibility, deterministic rebalancing, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Roberto Garrone

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

In this study, we estimate parameters in stochastic oscillatory systems by developing a novel cost function. This function incorporates power spectral density, analytic signal, and position crossings, each weighted to capture distinct…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-02 Joseph M. Marcinik , Dzmitry Vaido , Dolores Bozovic

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

Peak counts have been shown to be an excellent tool to extract the non-Gaussian part of the weak lensing signal. Recently, we developped a fast stochastic forward model to predict weak-lensing peak counts. Our model is able to reconstruct…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-16 Chieh-An Lin , Martin Kilbinger

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

When functional data manifest amplitude and phase variations, a commonly-employed framework for analyzing them is to take away the phase variation through a function alignment and then to apply standard tools to the aligned functions. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Sungwon Lee , Sungkyu Jung

The paper proposes a framework for modeling and analysis of the dynamics of supply, demand, and clearing prices in power system with real-time retail pricing and information asymmetry. Real-time retail pricing is characterized by passing on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-06-08 Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther A Dahleh , Sanjoy K Mitter

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a useful tool when trying to construct factor models from historical asset returns. For the implied volatilities of U.S. equities there is a PCA-based model with a principal eigenportfolio whose return…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Marco Avellaneda , Brian Healy , Andrew Papanicolaou , George Papanicolaou

High-dimensional tensor-valued data have recently gained attention from researchers in economics and finance. We consider the estimation and inference of high-dimensional tensor factor models, where each dimension of the tensor diverges.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Bin Chen , Yuefeng Han , Qiyang Yu

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions with a wide range of applications in economics, telecommunications, biology, applied, and theoretical physics. This is due to the fact that it possesses both the skewness and heavy tails. Since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Mahdi Teimouri

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

We study portfolio selection in a model with both temporary and transient price impact introduced by Garleanu and Pedersen (2016). In the large-liquidity limit where both frictions are small, we derive explicit formulas for the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-15 Ibrahim Ekren , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

This paper studies estimation of linear panel regression models with heterogeneous coefficients, when both the regressors and the residual contain a possibly common, latent, factor structure. Our theory is (nearly) efficient, because based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-01 Marco Avarucci , Paolo Zaffaroni

Stability selection is a widely adopted resampling-based framework for high-dimensional variable selection. This paper seeks to broaden the use of an established stability estimator to evaluate the overall stability of the stability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Mahdi Nouraie , Samuel Muller

Factor analysis for high-dimensional data is a canonical problem in statistics and has a wide range of applications. However, there is currently no factor model tailored to effectively analyze high-dimensional count responses with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and constant coefficient identification in high-dimensional varying coefficient models based on B-spline basis expansion. Both objectives can be considered as some type of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-16 Heng Lian

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a cornerstone of dimensionality reduction, yet its classical formulation relies critically on second-order moments and is therefore fragile in the presence of heavy-tailed data and impulsive noise.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Mario Sayde , Christopher Khater , Jihad Fahs , Ibrahim Abou-Faycal
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