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High-fidelity numerical simulations of chaotic, high dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are computationally expensive, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. Most surrogate models for such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Hojin Kim , Romit Maulik

Nonlinear Auto-Regressive eXogenous input (NARX) models are a popular class of nonlinear dynamical models. Often a polynomial basis expansion is used to describe the internal multivariate nonlinear mapping (P-NARX). Resorting to fixed basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-19 Jan Decuyper , David Westwick , Kiana Karami , Johan Schoukens

This report presents the modeling results for three systems, two numerical and one experimental. In the numerical examples, we use mathematical models previously obtained in the literature as the systems to be identified. The first…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-05 Lucas A. Tavares , Petrus E. O. G. B. Abreu , Luis A. Aguirre

The paper introduces a flexible model for the analysis of multivariate nonlinear time series data. The proposed Functional Coefficients Network Autoregressive (FCNAR) model considers the response of each node in the network to depend in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

The high variability of weather parameters is making photovoltaic energy generation intermittent and narrowly controllable. Threatened by the sudden discontinuity between the load and the grid, energy management for smart grid systems…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-23 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati

Many physical systems are described by nonlinear differential equations that are too complicated to solve in full. A natural way to proceed is to divide the variables into those that are of direct interest and those that are not, formulate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Alexandre J. Chorin , Fei Lu

Temperature control is a complex task due to its often unknown dynamics and disturbances. This paper explores the use of Neural Nonlinear AutoRegressive eXogenous (NNARX) models for nonlinear system identification and model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-09 Jing Xie , Léo Simpson , Jonas Asprion , Riccardo Scattolini

In this paper, we present a surrogate-based multiscale approach to model constant strain-rate and creep experiments on unidirectional thermoplastic composites under off-axis loading. In previous contributions, these experiments were modeled…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-20 M. A. Maia , I. B. C. M. Rocha , D. Kovačević , F. P. van der Meer

Simulating the mechanical response of advanced materials can be done more accurately using concurrent multiscale models than with single-scale simulations. However, the computational costs stand in the way of the practical application of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 J. Storm , I. B. C. M. Rocha , F. P. van der Meer

In recent decades, the main focus of computer modeling has been on supporting the design and development of engineering prototyes, but it is now ubiquitous in non-traditional areas such as medical rehabilitation. Conventional modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Jonas Kneifl , David Rosin , Oliver Röhrle , Jörg Fehr

Surrogate models are extensively employed for forward and inverse uncertainty quantification in complex, computation-intensive engineering problems. Nonetheless, constructing high-accuracy surrogate models for complex dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Zhouzhou Song , Weiyun Xu , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Matthias G. R. Faes

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

Simulation of complex dynamical systems arising in many applications is computationally challenging due to their size and complexity. Model order reduction, machine learning, and other types of surrogate modeling techniques offer cheaper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Steven Roberts , Andrey A Popov , Arash Sarshar , Adrian Sandu

We give the first mathematically rigorous analysis of an emerging approach to finite element analysis (see, e.g., Bauer et al. [Appl. Numer. Math., 2017]), which we hereby refer to as the surrogate matrix methodology. This methodology is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Daniel Drzisga , Brendan Keith , Barbara Wohlmuth

Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

This work presents a non-intrusive surrogate modeling scheme based on machine learning technology for predictive modeling of complex systems, described by parametrized time-dependent PDEs. For these problems, typical finite element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-26 Stefanos Nikolopoulos , Ioannis Kalogeris , Vissarion Papadopoulos

We introduce a novel hybrid methodology combining classical finite element methods (FEM) with neural networks to create a well-performing and generalizable surrogate model for forward and inverse problems. The residual from finite element…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Rishith Ellath Meethal , Birgit Obst , Mohamed Khalil , Aditya Ghantasala , Anoop Kodakkal , Kai-Uwe Bletzinger , Roland Wüchner

Non-autoregressive (NAR) models simultaneously generate multiple outputs in a sequence, which significantly reduces the inference speed at the cost of accuracy drop compared to autoregressive baselines. Showing great potential for real-time…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Yosuke Higuchi , Nanxin Chen , Yuya Fujita , Hirofumi Inaguma , Tatsuya Komatsu , Jaesong Lee , Jumon Nozaki , Tianzi Wang , Shinji Watanabe

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan