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In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

Evaluating models fit to data with internal spatial structure requires specific cross-validation (CV) approaches, because randomly selecting assessment data may produce assessment sets that are not truly independent of data used to train…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-14 Michael J Mahoney , Lucas K Johnson , Julia Silge , Hannah Frick , Max Kuhn , Colin M Beier

Spatio-temporal predictive learning plays a crucial role in self-supervised learning, with wide-ranging applications across a diverse range of fields. Previous approaches for temporal modeling fall into two categories: recurrent-based and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Cheng Tan , Jue Wang , Zhangyang Gao , Siyuan Li , Stan Z. Li

Longitudinal data analysis is fundamental for understanding dynamic processes in biomedical and social sciences. Although varying coefficient models (VCMs) provide a flexible framework by allowing covariate effects to evolve over time,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yu Lu , Tianni Zhang , Yuyao Wang , Mengfei Ran

3D occupancy becomes a promising perception representation for autonomous driving to model the surrounding environment at a fine-grained scale. However, it remains challenging to efficiently aggregate 3D occupancy over time across multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Ziyang Leng , Jiawei Yang , Wenlong Yi , Bolei Zhou

We propose a novel sparse spatiotemporal dynamic generalized linear model for efficient inference and prediction of bicycle count data. Assuming Poisson distributed counts with spacetime-varying rates, we model the log-rate using…

The tree-structured varying coefficient (TSVC) model is a flexible approach for generalized regression, where the linear effects of the covariates are allowed to vary with the values of effect modifiers. Relevant effect modifiers and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nikolai Spuck , Moritz Berger

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

In credit risk analysis, survival models with fixed and time-varying covariates are widely used to predict a borrower's time-to-event. When the time-varying drivers are endogenous, modelling jointly the evolution of the survival time and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Victor Medina-Olivares , Finn Lindgren , Raffaella Calabrese , Jonathan Crook

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) face significant computational overhead when processing long videos due to the massive number of visual tokens required. To improve efficiency, existing methods primarily reduce redundancy by pruning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Bingjun Luo , Tony Wang , Chaoqi Chen , Xinpeng Ding

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Prateek Bansal , Rico Krueger , Daniel J. Graham

Several disciplines, such as econometrics, neuroscience, and computational psychology, study the dynamic interactions between variables over time. A Bayesian nonparametric model known as the Wishart process has been shown to be effective in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Hester Huijsdens , David Leeftink , Linda Geerligs , Max Hinne

Understanding the long-time dynamics of complex physical processes depends on our ability to recognize patterns. To simplify the description of these processes, we often introduce a set of reaction coordinates, customarily referred to as…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-12-31 Tuğçe Gökdemir , Jakub Rydzewski

The quantile varying coefficient (VC) model can flexibly capture dynamical patterns of regression coefficients. In addition, due to the quantile check loss function, it is robust against outliers and heavy-tailed distributions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Fei Zhou , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become a staple in the analysis of multivariate time series and are formulated in the time domain as difference equations, with an implied covariance structure. In many contexts, it is desirable to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-04 Scott H. Holan , Tucker S. McElroy , Guohui Wu

Fitting statistical models to spatiotemporal data requires finding the right balance between imposing smoothness and following the data. In the context of p-splines, we propose a Bayesian framework for choosing the smoothing parameter which…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-30 A. W. Bowman , L. Evers , D. Molinari , W. R. Jones , M. J. Spence

Learned video compression (LVC) has witnessed remarkable advancements in recent years. Similar as the traditional video coding, LVC inherits motion estimation/compensation, residual coding and other modules, all of which are implemented…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-22 Yanbo Gao , Wenjia Huang , Shuai Li , Hui Yuan , Mao Ye , Siwei Ma

We consider a sparse high-dimensional varying coefficients model with random effects, a flexible linear model allowing covariates and coefficients to have a functional dependence with time. For each individual, we observe discretely sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov