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We present a statistical modelling framework for implementing Distributed Lag Models (DLMs), encompassing several extensions of the approach to capture the temporally distributed effect from covariates via regression. We place DLMs in the…

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

The Dead Leaves Model (DLM) provides a random tessellation of $d$-space, representing the visible portions of fallen leaves on the ground when $d=2$. For $d=1$, we establish formulae for the intensity, two-point correlations, and asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Mathew D. Penrose

This work is devoted to the development of a distributionally robust active fault diagnosis approach for a class of nonlinear systems, which takes into account any ambiguity in distribution information of the uncertain model parameters.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Ioannis Tzortzis , Marios M. Polycarpou

We leverage the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle as a model selection technique for Bernoulli distributions and compare several types of MDL codes. We first present a simplistic crude two-part MDL code and a Normalized Maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot , Carine Hue

Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

Degradation data are considered for assessing reliability in highly reliable systems. The usual assumption is that degradation units come from a homogeneous population. But in presence of high variability in the manufacturing process, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Barin Karmakar , Biswabrata Pradhan

In this survey we present an extensive research of the vast literature about the Generalized Lambda Distribution (GLD) and propose a hurdle, or two-way, model whose associated distribution is the GLD in order to meet the demand for a highly…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-04 Diego Marcondes , Cláudia Peixoto , Ana Carolina Maia

Predicting potential risks associated with the fatigue of key structural components is crucial in engineering design. However, fatigue often involves entangled complexities of material microstructures and service conditions, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yingjie Zhao , Yong Liu , Zhiping Xu

A multi-scale methodology is developed in conjunction with a probabilistic fatigue lifetime model for structures with pores whose exact distribution, i.e. geometries and locations, is unknown. The method takes into account uncertainty in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Abhishek Palchoudhary , Cristian Ovalle , Vincent Maurel , Pierre Kerfriden

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal

Human muscle fatigue is considered to be one of the main reasons for Musculoskeletal Disorder (MSD). Recent models have been introduced to define muscle fatigue for static postures. However, the main drawbacks of these models are that the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2012-04-10 Ruina Ma , Damien Chablat , Fouad Bennis , Liang Ma

Engineering fatigue is a very prevalent and dangerous phenomenon that limits the useful life span of mechanical structures. It can be found in most engineered structures and machinery that are made from metallic or composite materials. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-27 He-Wen-Xuan Li , David Chelidze

Hyperbolic balance laws with uncertain (random) parameters and inputs are ubiquitous in science and engineering. Quantification of uncertainty in predictions derived from such laws, and reduction of predictive uncertainty via data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Francesca Boso , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

The new method is proposed to monitor the level of currently accumulated fatigue and estimate it by the several statistical methods. The experimental software application was developed and used to get data from sensors (accelerometer, GPS,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Nikita Gordienko

Recent advances in medical research have improved survival outcomes for patients with life-threatening diseases. As a result, the existence of long-term survivors from these illnesses is becoming common. However, conventional models in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-16 Dionisio Silva Neto , Francisco Louzada Neto , Vera Lucia Tomazella

We consider a parametric modelling approach for survival data where covariates are allowed to enter the model through multiple distributional parameters, i.e., scale and shape. This is in contrast with the standard convention of having a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Il Do Ha , Kevin Burke

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric end-to-end method for probabilistic forecasting of distributed renewable generation outputs while including missing data imputation. Firstly, we employ a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Minghui Chen , Zichao Meng , Yanping Liu , Longbo Luo , Ye Guo , Kang Wang

This paper considers identification and estimation of distributional effect parameters that depend on the joint distribution of an outcome and another variable of interest ("treatment") in a setting with "two-sided" measurement error --…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li , Irina Murtazashvili , Emmanuel Tsyawo

We introduce in this paper a new four-parameter generalized version of the linear failure rate (LFR) distribution which is called Beta-linear failure rate (BLFR) distribution. The new distribution is quite flexible and can be used…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-27 Ali Akbar Jafari , Eisa Mahmoudi