English
Related papers

Related papers: Optimizing Estimators of Squared Calibration Error…

200 papers

This article provides, through theoretical analysis, an in-depth understanding of the classification performance of the empirical risk minimization framework, in both ridge-regularized and unregularized cases, when high dimensional data are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-26 Xiaoyi Mai , Zhenyu Liao

Applications such as weather forecasting and personalized medicine demand models that output calibrated probability estimates---those representative of the true likelihood of a prediction. Most models are not calibrated out of the box but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang , Tengyu Ma

Despite their impressive predictive performance in various computer vision tasks, deep neural networks (DNNs) tend to make overly confident predictions, which hinders their widespread use in safety-critical applications. While there have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Teodora Popordanoska , Aleksei Tiulpin , Matthew B. Blaschko

Shrinkage methods are frequently used to improve the precision of least squares estimators of fixed effects. However, widely used shrinkage estimators guarantee improved precision only under strong distributional assumptions. I develop an…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Soonwoo Kwon

Well-calibrated predictions of user preferences are essential for many applications. Since recommender systems typically select the top-N items for users, calibration for those top-N items, rather than for all items, is important. We show…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Masahiro Sato

Recalibration of binary probabilistic classifiers to a target prior probability is an important task in areas like credit risk management. However, recalibration of a classifier learned on a training dataset to a target on a test dataset in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Dirk Tasche

In recent years, multicalibration has emerged as a desirable learning objective for ensuring that a predictor is calibrated across a rich collection of overlapping subpopulations. Existing approaches typically achieve multicalibration by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Hongyi Henry Jin , Zijun Ding , Dung Daniel Ngo , Zhiwei Steven Wu

The calibration of deep learning-based perception models plays a crucial role in their reliability. Our work focuses on a class-wise evaluation of several model's confidence performance for LiDAR-based semantic segmentation with the aim of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Mariella Dreissig , Florian Piewak , Joschka Boedecker

In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over $d$-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

Approximate circuit design has gained significance in recent years targeting error tolerant applications. In this paper, we first demonstrate that the commonly used assumption that the inputs to the adder are uniformly distributed results…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-08 Celia Dharmaraj , Vinita Vasudevan , Nitin Chandrachoodan

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment of the agreement between the estimated risks and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lasai Barreñada , Bavo D. C. Campo , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

This paper provides an alternative to penalized estimators for estimation and vari- able selection in high dimensional linear regression models with measurement error or missing covariates. We propose estimation via bias corrected least…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-11 Abhishek Kaul , Hira L. Koul , Akshita Chawla , Soumendra N. Lahiri

Multiplicative errors in addition to spatially referenced observations often arise in geodetic applications, particularly in surface estimation with light detection and ranging (LiDAR) measurements. However, spatial regression involving…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Hojun You , Wei-Ying Wu , Chae Young Lim , Kyubaek Yoon , Jongeun Choi

In this paper, we identify the criteria for the selection of the minimal and most efficient covariate adjustment sets for the regression calibration method developed by Carroll, Rupert and Stefanski (CRS, 1992), used to correct bias due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Wenze Tang , Donna Spiegelman , Yujie Wu , Molin Wang

Ridge estimator is an alternative to ordinary least square estimator when there is multicollinearity problem. There are many proposed estimators in literature. In this paper, we propose new estimators which are modifications of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-10 Yasin Asar , Aşır Genç

Self-calibrating quantum state tomography aims at reconstructing the unknown quantum state and certain properties of the measurement devices from the same data. Since the estimates of the state and device parameters come from the same data,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-09 Jun Yan Sim , Jiangwei Shang , Hui Khoon Ng , Berthold-Georg Englert

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

A solution to control for nonresponse bias consists of multiplying the design weights of respondents by the inverse of estimated response probabilities to compensate for the nonrespondents. Maximum likelihood and calibration are two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Caren Hasler