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Longitudinal and time-to-event data are often analyzed in biomarker research to study the association between the longitudinal biomarker measurements and the event-time outcome, in which the longitudinal information contributes to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Minzee Kim , Joel A. Dubin

We introduce NeuralSurv, the first deep survival model to incorporate Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Our non-parametric, architecture-agnostic framework captures time-varying covariate-risk relationships in continuous time via a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Mélodie Monod , Alessandro Micheli , Samir Bhatt

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Machine learning applications for longitudinal electronic health records often forecast the risk of events at fixed time points, whereas survival analysis achieves dynamic risk prediction by estimating time-to-event distributions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Munib Mesinovic , Peter Watkinson , Tingting Zhu

Identifying meaningful and independent factors of variation in a dataset is a challenging learning task frequently addressed by means of deep latent variable models. This task can be viewed as learning symmetry transformations preserving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Maxim Samarin , Vitali Nesterov , Mario Wieser , Aleksander Wieczorek , Sonali Parbhoo , Volker Roth

Kernel survival analysis models estimate individual survival distributions with the help of a kernel function, which measures the similarity between any two data points. Such a kernel function can be learned using deep kernel survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 George H. Chen

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

The objective of this paper is to enhance the optimization process for neural networks by developing a dynamic learning rate algorithm that effectively integrates exponential decay and advanced anti-overfitting strategies. Our primary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Jatin Chaudhary , Dipak Nidhi , Jukka Heikkonen , Haari Merisaari , Rajiv Kanth

This paper explores foundational and applied aspects of survival analysis, using fall risk assessment as a case study. It revisits key time-related probability distributions and statistical methods, including logistic regression, Poisson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Tianhua Chen

The question why deep learning algorithms generalize so well has attracted increasing research interest. However, most of the well-established approaches, such as hypothesis capacity, stability or sparseness, have not provided complete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Tom Zahavy , Bingyi Kang , Alex Sivak , Jiashi Feng , Huan Xu , Shie Mannor

In the era of precision medicine, time-to-event outcomes such as time to death or progression are routinely collected, along with high-throughput covariates. These high-dimensional data defy classical survival regression models, which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Stephen Salerno , Yi Li

There has been an arising trend of adopting deep learning methods to study partial differential equations (PDEs). In this paper, we introduce a deep recurrent framework for solving time-dependent PDEs without generating large scale data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Cheng Chang , Liu Liu , Tieyong Zeng

Deep Q-Learning (DQL), a family of temporal difference algorithms for control, employs three techniques collectively known as the `deadly triad' in reinforcement learning: bootstrapping, off-policy learning, and function approximation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Joshua Achiam , Ethan Knight , Pieter Abbeel

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

Deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) is unquestionably a robust framework to train autonomous agents in a wide variety of disciplines. However, traditional deep and shallow model-free RL algorithms suffer from low sample efficiency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Per-Arne Andersen , Ole-Christoffer Granmo , Morten Goodwin

High-fidelity simulation of complex physical systems is exorbitantly expensive and inaccessible across spatiotemporal scales. Recently, there has been an increasing interest in leveraging deep learning to augment scientific data based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Pu Ren , Chengping Rao , Yang Liu , Zihan Ma , Qi Wang , Jian-Xun Wang , Hao Sun

Objective: Survival analysis is central to medical prediction, yet large language models (LLMs) are rarely used as end-to-end survival models because censoring prevents straightforward supervised fine-tuning. Here we present LLMSurvival, a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yishu Wei , Hexin Dong , Yi Lin , Jiahe Qian , Yi Liu , Yifan Peng

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

Ensemble modeling has been widely used to solve complex problems as it helps to improve overall performance and generalization. In this paper, we propose a novel TemporalAugmenter approach based on ensemble modeling for augmenting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Nelly Elsayed , Constantinos L. Zekios , Navid Asadizanjani , Zag ElSayed

The accurate prediction of patient prognosis is a critical challenge in clinical practice. With the availability of various patient information, physicians can optimize medical care by closely monitoring disease progression and therapy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 He Weiyi