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Temporal Graph Neural Networks have garnered substantial attention for their capacity to model evolving structural and temporal patterns while exhibiting impressive performance. However, it is known that these architectures are encumbered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Mahdi Biparva , Raika Karimi , Faezeh Faez , Yingxue Zhang

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The problem of forecasting weather has been scientifically studied for centuries due to its high impact on human lives, transportation, food production and energy management, among others. Current operational forecasting models are based on…

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

As industrial systems become more complex and monitoring sensors for everything from surveillance to our health become more ubiquitous, multivariate time series prediction is taking an important place in the smooth-running of our society. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Fan Jin , Ke Zhang , Yipan Huang , Yifei Zhu , Baiping Chen

The growing interest in Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) stems from their ability to model complex dynamics and deliver superior performance. However, TGNNs encounter fundamental challenges in capturing long-term dependencies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hongjiang Chen , Pengfei Jiao , Ming Du , Xuan Guo , Zhidong Zhao , Di Jin , Xiao Liu

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is a paramount and fundamental problem in many real-world applications. The core issue in MTS forecasting is how to effectively model complex spatial-temporal patterns. In this paper, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Du Yin , Yi Yang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Traffic congestion event prediction is an important yet challenging task in intelligent transportation systems. Many existing works about traffic prediction integrate various temporal encoders and graph convolution networks (GCNs), called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Lingbo Liu , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang

Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver

Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM) aims to forecast future events in ongoing cases based on historical event logs. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are well suited to capture structural dependencies in process data, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Fang Wang , Ernesto Damiani

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Models that adapt their predictions based on some given contexts, also known as in-context learning, have become ubiquitous in recent years. We propose to study the behavior of such models when data is contaminated by noise. Towards this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Chen Shapira , Dan Rosenbaum

Spatio-temporal modeling is foundational for smart city applications, yet it is often hindered by data scarcity in many cities and regions. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel generative pre-training framework, GPD, for spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuan Yuan , Chenyang Shao , Jingtao Ding , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Neural processes are a family of probabilistic models that inherit the flexibility of neural networks to parameterize stochastic processes. Despite providing well-calibrated predictions, especially in regression problems, and quick…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Peiman Mohseni , Nick Duffield , Bani Mallick , Arman Hasanzadeh

In recent years, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have achieved remarkable success in many graph mining tasks. However, scaling them to large graphs is challenging due to the high computational and storage costs of repeated feature propagation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Yuxuan Liang , Wentao Zhang , Zeang Sheng , Ling Yang , Quanqing Xu , Jiawei Jiang , Yunhai Tong , Bin Cui

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

A challenging part of dynamic probabilistic risk assessment for nuclear power plants is the need for large amounts of temporal simulations given various initiating events and branching conditions from which representative feature extraction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Bing Zha , Alessandro Vanni , Yassin Hassan , Tunc Aldemir , Alper Yilmaz

This paper is devoted to signal processing on point-clouds by means of neural networks. Nowadays, state-of-the-art in image processing and computer vision is mostly based on training deep convolutional neural networks on large datasets.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Amitoz Azad , Julien Rabin , Abderrahim Elmoataz
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