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Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

Although community structure is ubiquitous in complex networks, few works exploit this topological property to control epidemics. In this work, devoted to networks with non-overlapping community structure (i.e, a node belongs to a single…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Zakariya Ghalmane , Mohammed El Hassouni , Hocine Cherifi

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng

We consider a space-time SI epidemic model with infection age-dependent infectivity and non-local infections constructed on a grid of the torus $\mathbb{T}^1 =(0, 1]^d$, where the individuals may migrate from node to another. The migration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Anicet Mougabe-Peurkor , Étienne Pardoux , Ténan Yeo

Threshold theorem is probably the most important development of mathematical epidemic modelling. Unfortunately, some models may not behave according to the threshold. In this paper, we will focus on the final outcome of SIR model with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

We consider the emergent behavior of viral spread when agents in a large population interact with each other over a contact network. When the number of agents is large and the contact network is a complete graph, it is well known that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu

The S.I.R. model (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered or Died) was proposed by chemistry Willam Kermack (1927) and the mathematician G. Mc. Kendrick (1932). the model supposes to divide to the individuals of a population in three categories.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Horacio Castellini , Lilia Romanelli

Infectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analysing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Karel Devriendt , Piet Van Mieghem

This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-01 Ciyuan Zhang , Humphrey Leung , Brooks Butler , Philip. E. Paré

The celebrated Kermack-McKendric model of epidemics studies the transmission of a disease in a population where each individual is initially susceptible (S), may become infective (I) and then removed or recovered (R) and plays no further…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Michael Shapiro , Edgar Delgado-Eckert

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

Complex networks with pairwise connections have been vastly used for the modeling of interactions within systems. Although these type of models are capable to capture rich structures and different phases within a great variety of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Gerardo Palafox-Castillo , Arturo Berrones-Santos

This article examines how diseases on random networks spread in time. The disease is described by a probability distribution function for the number of infected and recovered individuals, and the probability distribution is described by a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Marder

In this work we review a class of deterministic nonlinear models for the propagation of infectious diseases over contact networks with strongly-connected topologies. We consider network models for susceptible-infected (SI),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Wenjun Mei , Shadi Mohagheghi , Sandro Zampieri , Francesco Bullo

Empirical studies suggest that contact patterns follow heterogeneous inter-event times, meaning that intervals of high activity are followed by periods of inactivity. Combined with birth and death of individuals, these temporal constraints…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Vincent D. Blondel

We consider an SIR-type (Susceptible $\to$ Infected $\to$ Recovered) stochastic epidemic process with multiple modes of transmission on a contact network. The network is given by a random graph following a multilayer configuration model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-22 Karly A. Jacobsen , Mark G. Burch , Joseph H. Tien , Grzegorz A. Rempała