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The reliance of text classifiers on spurious correlations can lead to poor generalization at deployment, raising concerns about their use in safety-critical domains such as healthcare. In this work, we propose to use counterfactual data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Amir Feder , Yoav Wald , Claudia Shi , Suchi Saria , David Blei

Randomized controlled trials are a cornerstone of medicine and the social sciences as they enable reliable estimates of causal effects. However, they are costly and time-consuming to conduct, motivating interest in predicting causal effects…

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been used as experts to infer causal graphs, often by repeatedly applying a pairwise prompt that asks about the causal relationship of each variable pair. However, such experts, including human domain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Aniket Vashishtha , Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Abhinav Kumar , Saketh Bachu , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Amit Sharma

The large language model (LLM) has achieved significant success across various domains. However, the inherent complexity of causal problems and causal theory poses challenges in accurately describing them in natural language, making it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Kairong Han , Kun Kuang , Ziyu Zhao , Junjian Ye , Fei Wu

While large language models (LLMs) play increasingly significant roles in society, research shows they continue to generate content that reflects social bias against sensitive groups. Existing benchmarks effectively identify these biases,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Tian Xie , Tongxin Yin , Vaishakh Keshava , Xueru Zhang , Siddhartha Reddy Jonnalagadda

Causal parameters may not be point identified in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, information about non-identified parameters, in the form of bounds, may still be recovered from the observed data in some cases. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-02 Noam Finkelstein , Ilya Shpitser

As NLP models become more complex, understanding their decisions becomes more crucial. Counterfactuals (CFs), where minimal changes to inputs flip a model's prediction, offer a way to explain these models. While Large Language Models (LLMs)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Van Bach Nguyen , Paul Youssef , Christin Seifert , Jörg Schlötterer

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in domains where causal reasoning matters, yet it remains unclear whether their judgments reflect normative causal computation, human-like shortcuts, or brittle pattern matching. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Hanna M. Dettki , Charley M. Wu , Bob Rehder

In practical statistical causal discovery (SCD), embedding domain expert knowledge as constraints into the algorithm is important for reasonable causal models reflecting the broad knowledge of domain experts, despite the challenges in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Masayuki Takayama , Tadahisa Okuda , Thong Pham , Tatsuyoshi Ikenoue , Shingo Fukuma , Shohei Shimizu , Akiyoshi Sannai

We present a general causal generative modelling framework for accurate estimation of high fidelity image counterfactuals with deep structural causal models. Estimation of interventional and counterfactual queries for high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Fabio De Sousa Ribeiro , Tian Xia , Miguel Monteiro , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker

Large language models (LLMs) have recently shown remarkable performance in language tasks and beyond. However, due to their limited inherent causal reasoning ability, LLMs still face challenges in handling tasks that require robust causal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Xin Li , Zhuo Cai , Shoujin Wang , Kun Yu , Fang Chen

Knowledge driven discovery of novel materials necessitates the development of the causal models for the property emergence. While in classical physical paradigm the causal relationships are deduced based on the physical principles or via…

Drawing causal conclusions from observational data requires making assumptions about the true data-generating process. Causal inference research typically considers low-dimensional data, such as categorical or numerical fields in structured…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Zach Wood-Doughty , Ilya Shpitser , Mark Dredze

Numerous decision-making tasks require estimating causal effects under interventions on different parts of a system. As practitioners consider using large language models (LLMs) to automate decisions, studying their causal reasoning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Tejas Kasetty , Divyat Mahajan , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Alexandre Drouin , Dhanya Sridhar

Counterfactual inference is a useful tool for comparing outcomes of interventions on complex systems. It requires us to represent the system in form of a structural causal model, complete with a causal diagram, probabilistic assumptions on…

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly being applied to tasks that involve causal reasoning. However, current benchmarks often rely on string matching or surface-level metrics that do not capture whether the output of a model is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Paul He , Yinya Huang , Mrinmaya Sachan , Zhijing Jin

Recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence have driven a paradigm shift, where large language models (LLMs) with billions or trillions of parameters are trained on vast datasets, achieving unprecedented success across a series of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Anpeng Wu , Kun Kuang , Minqin Zhu , Yingrong Wang , Yujia Zheng , Kairong Han , Baohong Li , Guangyi Chen , Fei Wu , Kun Zhang

Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset. Such an approach limits the potential of multi-dataset pretraining.…

The scale and scope of scholarly articles today are overwhelming human researchers who seek to timely digest and synthesize knowledge. In this paper, we seek to develop natural language processing (NLP) models to accelerate the speed of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Victor Zitian Chen , Felipe Montano-Campos , Wlodek Zadrozny

In recent years, efforts have been made to use text information for better user profiling and item characterization in recommendations. However, text information can sometimes be of low quality, hindering its effectiveness for real-world…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Yingpeng Du , Ziyan Wang , Zhu Sun , Haoyan Chua , Hongzhi Liu , Zhonghai Wu , Yining Ma , Jie Zhang , Youchen Sun
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