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Related papers: Sequential Design with Derived Win Statistics

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Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti

The increasing availability of passively observed data has yielded a growing methodological interest in "data fusion." These methods involve merging data from observational and experimental sources to draw causal conclusions -- and they…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-15 Evan Rosenman , Art B. Owen

Sequential modelling entails making sense of sequential data, which naturally occurs in a wide array of domains. One example is systems that interact with users, log user actions and behaviour, and make recommendations of items of potential…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Christian Hansen

Over time, clinical trials have increasingly incorporated complex design and analysis elements such as interim analyses, adaptations, multiple endpoints, and sophisticated multiplicity schemes for multiple endpoints and/or treatment arms…

Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

It is crucial to design Phase II cancer clinical trials that balance the efficiency of treatment selection with clinical practicality. Sargent and Goldberg proposed a frequentist design that allow decision-making even when the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Moka Komaki , Satoru Shinoda , Haiyan Zheng , Kouji Yamamoto

While many statistical procedures rely on a fixed sample size, sequential methods allow a decision-maker to adapt the sample size to achieve a given precision. In this way, sequential tests reduce the average number of observations required…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Henri Doerks , Erik Ekström , Yuqiong Wang

To analyse a very large data set containing lengthy variables, we adopt a sequential estimation idea and propose a parallel divide-and-conquer method. We conduct several conventional sequential estimation procedures separately, and properly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Zhanfeng Wang , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

We present variational sequential optimal experimental design (vsOED), a novel method for optimally designing a finite sequence of experiments within a Bayesian framework with information-theoretic criteria. vsOED employs a one-point reward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Wanggang Shen , Jiayuan Dong , Xun Huan

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

In this work, we propose a joint collaboration-compression framework for sequential estimation of a random vector parameter in a resource constrained wireless sensor network (WSN). Specifically, we propose a framework where the local…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Xiancheng Cheng , Prashant Khanduri , Boxiao Chen , Pramod K. Varshney

Sequential recommendation aims to choose the most suitable items for a user at a specific timestamp given historical behaviors. Existing methods usually model the user behavior sequence based on the transition-based methods like Markov…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Fengzhu Wu , Sili Zhang , Hao Gu , Yuexing Hao , Yuguang

We propose a restricted win probability estimand for comparing treatments in a randomized trial with a time-to-event outcome. We also propose Bayesian estimators for this summary measure as well as the unrestricted win probability. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-06 Michelle Leeberg , Xianghua Luo , Thomas A. Murray

Adaptive approaches, allowing for more flexible trial design, have been proposed for individually randomized trials to save time or reduce sample size. However, adaptive designs for cluster-randomized trials in which groups of participants…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Junwei Shen , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , David Benrimoh

Conditional power calculations are frequently used to guide the decision whether or not to stop a trial for futility or to modify planned sample size. These ignore the information in short-term endpoints and baseline covariates, and thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Kelly Van Lancker , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt

Many scientific and industrial processes produce data that is best analysed as vectors of relative values, often called compositions or proportions. The Dirichlet distribution is a natural distribution to use for composition or proportion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-15 Sean van der Merwe

Scientists are attempting to use models of ever increasing complexity, especially in medicine, where gene-based diseases such as cancer require better modeling of cell regulation. Complex models suffer from uncertainty and experiments are…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-01 Mahdi Imani , Roozbeh Dehghannasiri , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto , Edward R. Dougherty

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

In many stochastic service systems, decision-makers find themselves making a sequence of decisions, with the number of decisions being unpredictable. To enhance these decisions, it is crucial to uncover the causal impact these decisions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Juan C. David Gomez , Amy L. Cochran , Gabriel Zayas-Caban

This article introduces Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) with Distribution-Valued Outcomes (R3D), extending the standard RDD framework to settings where the outcome is a distribution rather than a scalar. Such settings arise when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-08 David Van Dijcke