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Clinical prognostic models help inform decision-making by estimating a patient's risk of experiencing an outcome in the future. The net benefit is increasingly being used to assess the clinical utility of models. By calculating an…

Composite endpoints, which combine two or more distinct outcomes, are frequently used in clinical trials to enhance the event rate and improve the statistical power. In the recent literature, the while-alive cumulative frequency measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Xi Fang , Hajime Uno , Fan Li

Approving and assessing new drugs is complex because multiple criteria must be considered simultaneously. A common approach is benefit-risk analysis, often conducted within a Bayesian framework to account for uncertainty and combine data…

Recidivism prediction provides decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend that can be used in pre-trial decision-making. It can also be used for prediction of locations where crimes most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Eduardo Soares , Plamen Angelov

This thesis considers sequential decision problems, where the loss/reward incurred by selecting an action may not be inferred from observed feedback. A major part of this thesis focuses on the unsupervised sequential selection problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Arun Verma

It is a common practice in randomized clinical trials with the standard survival outcome to follow patients until a prespecified number of events have been observed, a type of trial known as the event-driven trial. The event-driven design…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Jingwen Zhang , Satoshi Hattori

A new approach to adaptive design of clinical trials is proposed in a general multiparameter exponential family setting, based on generalized likelihood ratio statistics and optimal sequential testing theory. These designs are easy to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-22 Ailin Fan , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

To generalize inferences from a randomized trial to the target population of all trial-eligible individuals, investigators can use nested trial designs, where the randomized individuals are nested within a cohort of trial-eligible…

Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Chiwoo Park , Peihua Qiu , Jennifer Carpena-Núñez , Rahul Rao , Michael Susner , Benji Maruyama

Repetitive Scenario Design (RSD) is a randomized approach to robust design based on iterating two phases: a standard scenario design phase that uses $N$ scenarios (design samples), followed by randomized feasibility phase that uses $N_o$…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-12 Giuseppe C. Calafiore

We develop a general theory to optimize the frequentist regret for sequential learning problems, where efficient bandit and reinforcement learning algorithms can be derived from unified Bayesian principles. We propose a novel optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian

Financial statement auditing is conducted under a risk-based evidence approach to obtain reasonable assurance. In practice, auditors often perform additional sampling or related procedures when an initial sample does not provide a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Masahiro Kato , Kei Nakagawa

Variable-ratio matching is a flexible alternative to conventional $1$-to-$k$ matching for designing observational studies that emulate a target randomized controlled trial (RCT). To achieve fine balance -- that is, matching treated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Qian Meng , Zhe Chen , Bo Zhang

This thesis considers sequential decision problems, where the loss/reward incurred by selecting an action may not be inferred from observed feedback. A major part of this thesis focuses on the unsupervised sequential selection problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Arun Verma

The Stepped Wedge Design (SWD) is a form of cluster randomized trial, usually comparing two treatments, which is divided into time periods and sequences, with clusters allocated to sequences. Typically all sequences start with the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 John N. S. Matthews

Manufacturing advanced materials and products with a specific property or combination of properties is often warranted. To achieve that it is crucial to find out the optimum recipe or processing conditions that can generate the ideal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Hamed Khosravi , Taofeeq Olajire , Ahmed Shoyeb Raihan , Imtiaz Ahmed

Delayed outcomes are ubiquitous in online experimentation. When such a temporal dimension is present, treatment influences not only the outcome value but also the outcome timing, which can move in opposite directions. Motivated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Michael Lindon , Nathan Kallus

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing composite hypotheses. Our idea is to use confidence limits to define stopping and decision rules. The requirements of operating characteristic function can be satisfied by adjusting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Xinjia Chen