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Time series classification is an important task in its own right, and it is often a precursor to further downstream analytics. To date, virtually all works in the literature have used either shape-based classification using a distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-23 Sara Alaee , Alireza Abdoli , Christian Shelton , Amy C. Murillo , Alec C. Gerry , Eamonn Keogh

On time-series data, most causal discovery methods fit a new model whenever they encounter samples from a new underlying causal graph. However, these samples often share relevant information which is lost when following this approach.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Sindy Löwe , David Madras , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

Linear time-invariant systems are very popular models in system theory and applications. A fundamental problem in system identification that remains rather unaddressed in extant literature is to leverage commonalities amongst related linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-03 Aditya Modi , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

This research article suggests that there are significant benefits in exposing demand planners to forecasting methods using matrix completion techniques. This study aims to contribute to a better understanding of the field of forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Ivan Nazarov , Evgeny Burnaev

Despite the popularity of factor models with sparse loading matrices, little attention has been given to formally address identifiability of these models beyond standard rotation-based identification such as the positive lower triangular…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-12 Darjus Hosszejni , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

We consider the estimation of a sparse factor model where the factor loading matrix is assumed sparse. The estimation problem is reformulated as a penalized M-estimation criterion, while the restrictions for identifying the factor loading…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Benjamin Poignard , Yoshikazu Terada

Learning the unknown causal parameters of a linear structural causal model is a fundamental task in causal analysis. The task, known as the problem of identification, asks to estimate the parameters of the model from a combination of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Julian Dörfler , Benito van der Zander , Markus Bläser , Maciej Liskiewicz

Identifying the number of factors in a high-dimensional factor model has attracted much attention in recent years and a general solution to the problem is still lacking. A promising ratio estimator based on the singular values of the lagged…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Zeng Li , Qinwen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a most frequently used statistical tool in almost all branches of data science. However, like many other statistical tools, there is sometimes the risk of misuse or even abuse. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

We present a matrix-factorization algorithm that scales to input matrices with both huge number of rows and columns. Learned factors may be sparse or dense and/or non-negative, which makes our algorithm suitable for dictionary learning,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Arthur Mensch , Julien Mairal , Bertrand Thirion , Gael Varoquaux

A symmetric matrix $A$ is completely positive (CP) if there exists an entrywise nonnegative matrix $V$ such that $A = V V ^T$. In this paper, we study the CP-matrix approximation problem of projecting a matrix onto the intersection of a set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Jinyan Fan , Anwa Zhou

Early time classification algorithms aim to label a stream of features without processing the full input stream, while maintaining accuracy comparable to that achieved by applying the classifier to the entire input. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Liran Ringel , Regev Cohen , Daniel Freedman , Michael Elad , Yaniv Romano

This paper studies the principal component (PC) method-based estimation of weak factor models with sparse loadings. We uncover an intrinsic near-sparsity preservation property for the PC estimators of loadings, which comes from the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Jie Wei , Yonghui Zhang

Matrix-valued time series data are frequently observed in a broad range of areas and have attracted great attention recently. In this work, we model network effects for high dimensional matrix-valued time series data in a matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Yanyuan Ma

We consider the problem of learning a linear factor model. We propose a regularized form of principal component analysis (PCA) and demonstrate through experiments with synthetic and real data the superiority of resulting estimates to those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-31 Yi-Hao Kao , Benjamin Van Roy

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Connor Holmes , Sven Lilge , Zi Cong Guo , Frank Dellaert , Timothy D. Barfoot

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Theodoros Damoulas , Mark F. J. Steel

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun
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