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Related papers: Kermack-McKendrick type models for epidemics with …

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The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

This paper is concerned with two frequency-dependent SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models in heterogeneous environment, with a cross-diffusion term modeling the effect that susceptible individuals tend to move away from higher…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-20 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Tian Xiang

In this paper, we show how to modify a compartmental epidemic model, without changing the dimension, such that separable static heterogeneity is taken into account. The derivation is based on the Kermack-McKendrick renewal equation.

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-24 Odo Diekmann , Hisashi Inaba

In recent years, classical epidemic models, which assume stationary behavior of individuals, have been extended to include an adaptive heterogeneous response of the population to the current state of the epidemic. However, it is widely…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ruofei Guan , Jana Kopfová , Dmitrii Rachinskii

This paper considers a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic reaction-diffusion model with no-flux boundary conditions and varying total population. The interaction of the susceptible and infected people is describe by the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Rui Peng , Rachidi B. Salako , Yixiang Wu

The main purpose of this paper is to study the local dynamics and bifurcations of a discrete-time SIR epidemiological model. The existence and stability of disease-free and endemic fixed points are investigated along with a fairly complete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry , Yishao Zhou

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has called for fast advancement of new modelling strategies to estimate its unprecedented spread. Here, we introduce a model based on the fundamental SIR equations with a stochastic disorder by a random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Suman Dutta

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exactly one household and one workplace. The random network is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

We consider a simple stochastic $N$-particle system, already studied by the same authors in \cite{CPS21}, representing different populations of agents. Each agent has a label describing his state of health. We show rigorously that, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Alessandro Ciallella , Mario Pulvirenti , Sergio Simonella

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro

This paper investigates the identifiability of a spatial mathematical model of the spread of fast-moving epidemics based on the law of acting masses and diffusion processes. The research algorithm is based on global methods of Sobol…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Olga Krivorotko , Tatiana Zvonareva , Andrei Neverov

Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

The behavior at criticality of spatial SIR (susceptible/infected/recovered) epidemic models in dimensions two and three is investigated. In these models, finite populations of size N are situated at the vertices of the integer lattice, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-05 Steven P. Lalley , Xinghua Zheng

By means of the asynchronous cellular automata algorithm we study stationary states and spatial patterning in an $SIS$ model, in which the individuals' are attached to the vertices of a graph and their mobility is mimicked by varying the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 J. M. Ilnytskyi , Y. Kozitsky , H. I. Ilnytskyi , O. Haiduchok

Following \cite{ipel1}, we consider a nonlinear SIS-type nonlocal system describing the spread of epidemics on networks, assuming nonlimited transmission, We prove local existence of a unique solution for any diffusion coefficients and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Elisabeth Logak , Isabelle Passat

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

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