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We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

We propose a multi-fidelity neural network surrogate sampling method for the uncertainty quantification of physical/biological systems described by ordinary or partial differential equations. We first generate a set of low/high-fidelity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Mohammad Motamed

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmed Mohamed Eisa Nasr , Ali Elham , Haris Moazam Sheikh

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Surrogate models - also called emulators - are widely used to facilitate Bayesian inference in settings where computational costs preclude the use of standard posterior inference algorithms. Their deployment is now standard practice across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Andrew Gerard Roberts , Michael C. Dietze , Jonathan H. Huggins

Model selection in Gaussian processes scales prohibitively with the size of the training dataset, both in time and memory. While many approximations exist, all incur inevitable approximation error. Recent work accounts for this error in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jonathan Wenger , Kaiwen Wu , Philipp Hennig , Jacob R. Gardner , Geoff Pleiss , John P. Cunningham

Optimizing the reliability and the robustness of a design is important but often unaffordable due to high sample requirements. Surrogate models based on statistical and machine learning methods are used to increase the sample efficiency.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Can Bogoclu , Dirk Roos , Tamara Nestorović

Reduced-order models, also known as proxy model or surrogate model, are approximate models that are less computational expensive as opposed to fully descriptive models. With the integration of machine learning, these models have garnered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jungang Chen , Eduardo Gildin , John Killough

In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

In order to optimally design materials, it is crucial to understand the structure-property relations in the material by analyzing the effect of microstructure parameters on the macroscopic properties. In computational homogenization, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Theron Guo , Ondřej Rokoš , Karen Veroy

Current tests for nonlinearity compare a time series to the null hypothesis of a Gaussian linear stochastic process. For this restricted null assumption, random surrogates can be constructed which are constrained by the linear properties of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

Designing an inexpensive approximate surrogate model that captures the salient features of an expensive high-fidelity behavior is a prevalent approach in design optimization. In recent times, Deep Learning (DL) models are being used as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

This paper develops a surrogate model refinement approach for the simulation of dynamical systems and the solution of optimization problems governed by dynamical systems in which surrogates replace expensive-to-compute state- and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Jonathan R. Cangelosi , Matthias Heinkenschloss

In computer-aided engineering design, the goal of a designer is to find an optimal design on a given requirement using the numerical simulator in loop with an optimization method. In this design optimization process, a good design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Harsh Vardhan , Peter Volgyesi , Janos Sztipanovits

Significant effort has been made to solve computationally expensive optimization problems in the past two decades, and various optimization methods incorporating surrogates into optimization have been proposed. Most research focuses on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-11 Julian Blank , Kalyanmoy Deb

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

The quantification of uncertainty on fluid flow in porous media is often hampered by multi-scale heterogeneity and insufficient site characterization. Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS), which runs numerical simulations for a large number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Hyung Jun Yang , Timothy Yeo , Jaewoo An

With the development of artificial intelligence, simulation-based optimization problems, which present a significant challenge in the process systems engineering community, are increasingly being addressed with the surrogate-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Zixuan Zhang , Xiaowei Song , Yujiao Zeng , Jie Li , Yaling Nie , Min Zhu , Jianhua Chen , Linmin Wang , Xin Xiao

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Failure probability evaluation for complex physical and engineering systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) are computationally intensive, especially when high-dimensional random parameters are involved. Since standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Ke Li , Kejun Tang , Jinglai Li , Tianfan Wu , Qifeng Liao
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