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Long-range correlated processes are ubiquitous, ranging from climate variables to financial time series. One paradigmatic example for such processes is fractional Brownian motion (fBm). In this work, we highlight the potentials and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-05 Yong Zou , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

In this paper it presents, develops and discusses the existence of a process with long scope memory structure, representing of the independence between the degree of randomness of the traffic generated by the sources and flow pattern…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-01 G. Millán

There exists a wide literature on modelling strongly dependent time series using a longmemory parameter d, including more recent work on semiparametric wavelet estimation. As a generalization of these latter approaches, in this work we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-28 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs

The need to recognise long-term dependencies in sequential data such as video streams has made Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks a prominent Artificial Intelligence model for many emerging applications. However, the high computational…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-31 Alexandros Kouris , Stylianos I. Venieris , Michail Rizakis , Christos-Savvas Bouganis

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue

While short-range dependence is widely assumed in the literature for its simplicity, long-range dependence is a feature that has been observed in data from finance, hydrology, geophysics and economics. In this paper, we extend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Stochastic Computing (SC) is a computing paradigm that allows for the low-cost and low-power computation of various arithmetic operations using stochastic bit streams and digital logic. In contrast to conventional representation schemes…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Corey Lammie , Jason K. Eshraghian , Wei D. Lu , Mostafa Rahimi Azghadi

Various methods using machine and deep learning have been proposed to tackle different tasks in predictive process monitoring, forecasting for an ongoing case e.g. the most likely next event or suffix, its remaining time, or an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Jari Peeperkorn , Seppe vanden Broucke , Jochen De Weerdt

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

The origin of the long-range memory in the non-equilibrium systems is still an open problem as the phenomenon can be reproduced using models based on Markov processes. In these cases a notion of spurious memory is introduced. A good example…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

It is generally accepted that many time series of practical interest exhibit strong dependence, i.e., long memory. For such series, the sample autocorrelations decay slowly and log-log periodogram plots indicate a straight-line…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rohit Deo , Meng-Chen Hsieh , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

Accurate time series prediction is challenging due to the inherent nonlinearity and sensitivity to initial conditions. We propose a novel approach that enhances neural network predictions through differential learning, which involves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Akash Yadav , Eulalia Nualart

Predictive process monitoring concerns itself with the prediction of ongoing cases in (business) processes. Prediction tasks typically focus on remaining time, outcome, next event or full case suffix prediction. Various methods using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Jari Peeperkorn , Seppe vanden Broucke , Jochen De Weerdt

The high dimensionality and complexity of neuroimaging data necessitate large datasets to develop robust and high-performing deep learning models. However, the neuroimaging field is notably hampered by the scarcity of such datasets. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Yutong Gao , Charles A. Ellis , Vince D. Calhoun , Robyn L. Miller

Stationary stochastic processes (SPs) are a key component of many probabilistic models, such as those for off-the-grid spatio-temporal data. They enable the statistical symmetry of underlying physical phenomena to be leveraged, thereby…

The ability to generate and recognize sequential data is fundamental for autonomous systems operating in dynamic environments. Inspired by the key principles of the brain-predictive coding and the Bayesian brain-we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Jungsik Hwang , Ahmadreza Ahmadi

Long-range dependence induced by heavy tails is a widely reported feature of internet traffic. Long-range dependence can be defined as the regular variation of the variance of the integrated process, and half the index of regular variation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-01 Gilles Fay , François Roueff , Philippe Soulier

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani