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The accurate representation of epistemic uncertainty is a challenging yet essential task in machine learning. A widely used representation corresponds to convex sets of probabilistic predictors, also known as credal sets. One popular way of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Mira Jürgens , Thomas Mortier , Eyke Hüllermeier , Viktor Bengs , Willem Waegeman

Semi-supervised learning relaxes the need of large pixel-wise labeled datasets for image segmentation by leveraging unlabeled data. A prominent way to exploit unlabeled data is to regularize model predictions. Since the predictions of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Sukesh Adiga , Jose Dolz , Herve Lombaert

The regulatory approval and broad clinical deployment of medical AI have been hampered by the perception that deep learning models fail in unpredictable and possibly catastrophic ways. A lack of statistically rigorous uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Charles Lu , Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stuart Pomerantz

Despite recent improvements in the accuracy of brain tumor segmentation, the results still exhibit low levels of confidence and robustness. Uncertainty estimation is one effective way to change this situation, as it provides a measure of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-29 Ke Zou , Xuedong Yuan , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Huazhu Fu

Semantic segmentation has become an important task in computer vision with the growth of self-driving cars, medical image segmentation, etc. Although current models provide excellent results, they are still far from perfect and while there…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Samik Some , Vinay P. Namboodiri

Background and Purpose: Glioma segmentation is crucial for clinical decisions and treatment planning. Uncertainty quantification methods, including conformal prediction (CP), can enhance segmentation models reliability. This study aims to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Danial Elyassirad , Benyamin Gheiji , Mahsa Vatanparast , Amir Mahmoud Ahmadzadeh , Shahriar Faghani

In critical decision support systems based on medical imaging, the reliability of AI-assisted decision-making is as relevant as predictive accuracy. Although deep learning models have demonstrated significant accuracy, they frequently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Hua Xu , Julián D. Arias-Londoño , Juan I. Godino-Llorente

Medical image segmentation is critical for disease diagnosis and treatment assessment. However, concerns regarding the reliability of segmentation regions persist among clinicians, mainly attributed to the absence of confidence assessment,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Ke Zou , Yidi Chen , Ling Huang , Xuedong Yuan , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Rick Siow Mong Goh , Yong Liu , Huazhu Fu

Ensuring reliable confidence scores from deep networks is of pivotal importance in critical decision-making systems, notably in the medical domain. While recent literature on calibrating deep segmentation networks has led to significant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Balamurali Murugesan , Sukesh Adiga , Bingyuan Liu , Hervé Lombaert , Ismail Ben Ayed , Jose Dolz

Medical image segmentation modeling is a high-stakes task where understanding of uncertainty is crucial for addressing visual ambiguity. Prior work has developed segmentation models utilizing probabilistic or generative mechanisms to infer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Andre Ye , Quan Ze Chen , Amy Zhang

An open question in \emph{Imprecise Probabilistic Machine Learning} is how to empirically derive a credal region (i.e., a closed and convex family of probabilities on the output space) from the available data, without any prior knowledge or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-29 Michele Caprio , David Stutz , Shuo Li , Arnaud Doucet

Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jean Feng , Arjun Sondhi , Jessica Perry , Noah Simon

We study the problem of semantic segmentation calibration. Lots of solutions have been proposed to approach model miscalibration of confidence in image classification. However, to date, confidence calibration research on semantic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Dongdong Wang , Boqing Gong , Liqiang Wang

Efficiently managing and utilizing large-scale medical imaging datasets with limited resources presents significant challenges. While coreset selection helps reduce computational costs, its effectiveness in medical data remains limited due…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Yan Liang , Ziyuan Yang , Zhuxin Lei , Mengyu Sun , Yingyu Chen , Yi Zhang

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

As deep neural networks are more commonly deployed in high-stakes domains, their black-box nature makes uncertainty quantification challenging. We investigate the presentation of conformal prediction sets--a distribution-free class of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Dongping Zhang , Angelos Chatzimparmpas , Negar Kamali , Jessica Hullman

Accurate tumor staging in lung cancer is crucial for prognosis and treatment planning and is governed by explicit anatomical criteria under fixed guidelines. However, most existing deep learning approaches treat this spatially structured…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Saniah Kayenat Chowdhury , Rusab Sarmun , Muhammad E. H. Chowdhury , Sohaib Bassam Zoghoul , Israa Al-Hashimi , Adam Mushtak , Amith Khandakar

Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sample sizes. These challenges are frequently encountered in…

Deep learning models (DLMs) frequently achieve accurate segmentation and classification of tumors from medical images. However, DLMs lacking feedback on their image segmentation mechanisms, such as Dice coefficients and confidence in their…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-31 Elhoucine Elfatimi , Pratik Shah

Modern deep neural networks achieved remarkable progress in medical image segmentation tasks. However, it has recently been observed that they tend to produce overconfident estimates, even in situations of high uncertainty, leading to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Agostina Larrazabal , Cesar Martinez , Jose Dolz , Enzo Ferrante