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Related papers: Feedback Processes causing an AMOC Collapse in the…

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The predictability of the atmosphere at short and long time scales, associated with the coupling to the ocean, is explored in a new version of the Modular Arbitrary-Order Ocean-Atmosphere Model (MAOOAM), based on a 2-layer quasi-geostrophic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Stéphane Vannitsem , Roman Solé-Pomies , Lesley De Cruz

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are crucial components of the hydrological cycle and often produce flash floods. Given their impact, it is crucial to understand how they will change under a warming climate. This study uses a satellite-…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-18 Wenjun Cui , Thomas Galarneau , Kimberly Hoogewind

Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden

We consider the off-lattice two-dimensional $q$-state active clock model (ACM) as a natural discretization of the Vicsek model (VM) describing flocking. The ACM consists of particles able to move in the plane in a discrete set of $q$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-10 Swarnajit Chatterjee , Matthieu Mangeat , Heiko Rieger

We examine the nature of the ice-albedo feedback in a long standing approach used in the dynamic-thermodynamic modeling of sea ice. The central issue examined is how the evolution of the ice area is treated when modeling a partial ice cover…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

The free-space optical (FSO) communication links with orbital angular momentum (OAM) multiplexing have been demonstrated that they can largely enhance the systems' capacity without a corresponding increase in spectral bandwidth, but the…

Optics · Physics 2014-01-30 Shengmei Zhao , Bei Wang , Li Zhou , Longyan Gong , Wenwen Cheng , Yubo Sheng , Baoyu Zheng

Extratropical extreme precipitation events are usually associated with large-scale flow disturbances, strong ascent and large latent heat release. The causal relationships between these factors are often not obvious, however, and the roles…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-11-23 Ji Nie , Daniel A. Shaevitz , Adam H. Sobel

Atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) are known to have a warm and isotopically enriched bias over Antarctica. We test here the hypothesis that these biases are partly consequences of a too diffusive advection. Exploiting the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-15 Alexandre Cauquoin , Camille Risi , Étienne Vignon

Model studies indicate that many climate subsystems, especially ecosystems, may be vulnerable to 'tipping': a 'catastrophic process' in which a system, driven by gradually changing external factors, abruptly transitions (or 'collapses')…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Dock Staal , Arjen Doelman

The sea-ice cover of the Arctic Ocean is an important element of the climate and ocean system in the Northern Hemisphere as it impacts albedo, atmospheric pressure regimes, CO2-exchange at the ocean/atmosphere interface as well as the North…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-09 Claude Hillaire-Marcel , Anne de Vernal , Michel Crucifix

Climate emulation is an out-of-distribution (OOD) projection task. This is precisely the challenge where modern Machine Learning (ML) methods are most prone to failure. Consequently, while current ML emulators trained on present climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Bradley Stanley-Clamp , Anson Lei , Hannah M. Christensen , Ingmar Posner

The purpose of this review-and-research paper is twofold: (i) to review the role played in climate dynamics by fluid-dynamical models; and (ii) to contribute to the understanding and reduction of the uncertainties in future climate-change…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Michael Ghil , Mickaël D. Chekroun , Eric Simonnet

Anomaly-diffusing energy balance models (AD-EBM) are routinely employed to analyze and emulate the warming response of both observed and simulated Earth systems. We demonstrate a deficiency in common multi-layer as well as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-01 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Nathan M. Urban

The variability of the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is influenced substantially by the formation of deep water in the North Atlantic. In many ocean models, so-called deep-decoupling oscillations have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-04 John Bailie , Henk A. Dijkstra , Bernd Krauskopf

Climate response metrics are used to quantify the Earth's climate response to anthropogenic changes of atmospheric CO2. Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is one such metric that measures the equilibrium response to CO2 doubling.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-11 Robbin Bastiaansen , Peter Ashwin , Anna S. von der Heydt

Recent field campaigns have consistently documented bottom-intensified mixing near the seafloor, suggesting diabatic downwelling in the abyssal ocean. This phenomenon appears to contradict with the mass balance of the abyssal ocean, where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-03 Lei Han

The accelerating pace of climate change introduces profound non-stationarities that challenge the ability of Machine Learning based climate emulators to generalize beyond their training distributions. While these emulators offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , Maria Perez-Ortiz

The global ocean overturning circulation, critically dependent on the global density stratification, plays a central role in regulating climate evolution. While it is well-known that the global stratification profile exhibits a strong…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-07 Julian Mak , David P. Marshall , Gurvan Madec , James R. Maddison

Antarctic meltwater is expected to increase throughout the coming centuries and impact sea level, ocean circulation, and the coupled climate evolution. This motivates interest in understanding the ocean response to Antarctic freshwater…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Rory Basinski-Ferris , Laure Zanna , Ian Eisenman