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Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

In this article, we consider two different statistical models. First, we focus on the estimation of the jump intensity of a compound Poisson process in the presence of unknown noise. This problem combines both the deconvolution problem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Guillaume Garnier

Asymptotic equivalence in Le Cam's sense for nonparametric regression experiments is extended to the case of non-regular error densities, which have jump discontinuities at their endpoints. We prove asymptotic equivalence of such regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-28 Alexander Meister , Markus Reiß

We develop new econometric methods for the comparison of nonparametric time trends. In many applications, practitioners are interested in whether the observed time series all have the same time trend. Moreover, they would often like to know…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-23 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

High-order Graph Neural Networks (HO-GNNs) have been developed to infer consistent latent spaces in the heterophilic regime, where the label distribution is not correlated with the graph structure. However, most of the existing HO-GNNs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Ahmed Begga , Francisco Escolano , Miguel Angel Lozano , Edwin R. Hancock

We consider a 1-dimensional diffusion process X with jumps. The particularity of this model relies in the jumps which are driven by a multidimensional Hawkes process denoted N. This article is dedicated to the study of a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler

We propose a geometric approach for bounding average stopping times for stopped random walks in discrete and continuous time. We consider stopping times in the hyperspace of time indexes and stochastic processes. Our techniques relies on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Xinjia Chen

Motion segmentation in dynamic scenes is highly challenging, as conventional methods heavily rely on estimating camera poses and point correspondences from inherently noisy motion cues. Existing statistical inference or iterative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Xiankang He , Peile Lin , Ying Cui , Dongyan Guo , Chunhua Shen , Xiaoqin Zhang

We consider homogeneous random walks in the quarter-plane. The necessary conditions which characterize random walks of which the invariant measure is a sum of geometric terms are provided in [2,3]. Based on these results, we first develop…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-26 Yanting Chen , Richard J. Boucherie , Jasper Goseling

Markov jump processes (MJPs) are used to model a wide range of phenomena from disease progression to RNA path folding. However, maximum likelihood estimation of parametric models leads to degenerate trajectories and inferential performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-08 Jonathan H. Huggins , Karthik Narasimhan , Ardavan Saeedi , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We propose a new unsupervised and non-parametric method to detect change points in intricate quasi-periodic signals. The detection relies on optimal transport theory combined with topological analysis and the bootstrap procedure. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Nikolay Shvetsov , Nazar Buzun , Dmitry V. Dylov

This paper studies the classical problem of detecting the locations of signal occurrences in a one-dimensional noisy measurement. Assuming the signal occurrences do not overlap, we formulate the detection task as a constrained likelihood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-20 Mordechai Roth , Amichai Painsky , Tamir Bendory

Sharp, multidimensional changepoints-abrupt shifts in a regression surface whose locations and magnitudes are unknown-arise in settings as varied as gene-expression profiling, financial covariance breaks, climate-regime detection, and urban…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-09 Florian Gunsilius , David Van Dijcke

We study multiple change point localization under bandit feedback. An unknown piecewise-constant function on a compact interval can be queried sequentially at adaptively chosen inputs, and each query returns a noisy evaluation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Maximilian Graf , Victor Thuot

This paper considers the problem of detecting nonstationary phenomena, and chirps in particular, from very noisy data. Chirps are waveforms of the very general form A(t) exp(i\lambda \phi(t)), where \lambda is a (large) base frequency, the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Emmanuel J. Candes , Philip R. Charlton , Hannes Helgason

This paper concerns models and convergence principles for dealing with stochasticity in a wide range of algorithms arising in nonlinear analysis and optimization in Hilbert spaces. It proposes a flexible geometric framework within which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Patrick L. Combettes , Javier I. Madariaga

We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Frank Wood , Thomas Griffiths , Zoubin Ghahramani

Considering the simultaneous measurement of non-commuting observables, we define a geometric measure for the degree of non-commuting behavior of quantum measurements coming from the initial and final states of the measurements. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-12-14 Yang Yang , Wei Cui

We consider a bivariate process $X_t=(X^1_t,X^2_t)$, which is observed on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ at discrete times $0,\Delta_n,2\Delta_n,....$ Assuming that its two components $X^1$ and $X^2$ have jumps on $[0,T]$, we derive tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

In the present paper, we propose and analyze a novel method for estimating a univariate regression function of bounded variation. The underpinning idea is to combine two classical tools in nonparametric statistics, namely isotonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Arnaud Guyader , Nicolas Jégou , Alexander B. Németh , Sándor Z. Németh