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We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

This paper studies high-dimensional trend inference for piecewise smooth signals under nonstationary noise and asynchronous structural breaks by first detecting asynchronous changes without assuming stationarity and then further exploiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Lujia Bai , David Veitch , Weichi Wu , Wenyang Zhang , Zhou Zhou

Standard methods for detecting discontinuities in conditional means are not applicable to outcomes that are complex, non-Euclidean objects like distributions, networks, or covariance matrices. This article develops a nonparametric test for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 David Van Dijcke

We consider the problem of locating a jump discontinuity (change-point) in a smooth parametric regression model with a bounded covariate. It is assumed that one can sample the covariate at different values and measure the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Yan Lan , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

This paper addresses the problem of head detection in crowded environments. Our detection is based entirely on the geometric consistency across cameras with overlapping fields of view, and no additional learning process is required. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Nicola Pellicanò , Emanuel Aldea , Sylvie Le Hégarat-Mascle

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

Here we develop a method for performing nonparametric Bayesian inference on quantiles. Relying on geometric measure theory and employing a Hausdorff base measure, we are able to specify meaningful priors for the quantile while treating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Luke Bornn , Neil Shephard , Reza Solgi

Identifying the instances of jumps in a discrete-time-series sample of a jump diffusion model is a challenging task. We have developed a novel statistical technique for jump detection and volatility estimation in a return time series data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-22 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani

In this paper we provide new methodology for inference of the geometric features of a multivariate density in deconvolution. Our approach is based on multiscale tests to detect significant directional derivatives of the unknown density at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-21 Konstantin Eckle , Nicolai Bissantz , Holger Dette

We study quantum statistical inference tasks of hypothesis testing and their canonical variations, in order to review relations between their corresponding figures of merit---measures of statistical distance---and demonstrate the crucial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-25 Marcin Jarzyna , Jan Kolodynski

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

Modern multiscale type segmentation methods are known to detect multiple change-points with high statistical accuracy, while allowing for fast computation. Underpinning theory has been developed mainly for models that assume the signal as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Housen Li , Qinghai Guo , Axel Munk

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

This paper develops a robust parametric framework for jump detection in discretely observed CKLS-type jump-diffusion processes with high-frequency asymptotics, based on the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). The methodology…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Sourojyoti Barick

Without measurement errors in predictors, discontinuity of a nonparametric regression function at unknown locations could be estimated using a number of existing approaches. However, it becomes a challenging problem when the predictors…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-17 Yicheng Kang , Xiaodong Gong , Jiti Gao , Peihua Qiu

Change-point detection has been a classical problem in statistics and econometrics. This work focuses on the problem of detecting abrupt distributional changes in the data-generating distribution of a sequence of high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

While a substantial literature on structural break change point analysis exists for univariate time series, research on large panel data models has not been as extensive. In this paper, a novel method for estimating panel models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-24 Oualid Bada , Alois Kneip , Dominik Liebl , Tim Mensinger , James Gualtieri , Robin C. Sickles

This paper deals with the problem of detecting non-isotropic high-dimensional geometric structure in random graphs. Namely, we study a model of a random geometric graph in which vertices correspond to points generated randomly and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Ronen Eldan , Dan Mikulincer

In this manuscript, we discuss a class of difference-based estimators of the autocovariance structure in a semiparametric regression model where the signal is discontinuous and the errors are serially correlated. The signal in this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Michael Levine , Inder Tecuapetla-Gomez

In order to compare and interpolate signals, we investigate a Riemannian geometry on the space of signals. The metric allows discontinuous signals and measures both horizontal (thus providing many benefits of the Wasserstein metric) and…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Ruiyu Han , Dejan Slepčev , Yunan Yang
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