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Modeling long horizon marked event sequences is a fundamental challenge in many real-world applications, including healthcare, finance, and user behavior modeling. Existing neural temporal point process models are typically autoregressive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Xiao Shou

Traditional structured prediction models try to learn the conditional likelihood, i.e., p(y|x), to capture the relationship between the structured output y and the input features x. For many models, computing the likelihood is intractable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 You Lu , Bert Huang

We introduce a new generative modeling framework, \textbf{Flow Matching with Arbitrary Auxiliary Paths (AuxPath-FM)}, which generalizes conditional flow matching by incorporating an auxiliary variable drawn from an arbitrary distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Xin Peng , Ang Gao

Time series are generated in diverse domains such as economic, traffic, health, and energy, where forecasting of future values has numerous important applications. Not surprisingly, many forecasting methods are being proposed. To ensure…

We present a data-driven approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting based on conditional normalizing flow (CNF). In contrast with the existing, this approach is distribution-free (as for non-parametric and quantile-based approaches)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-20 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jinghuan Ma , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Conditional particle filters (CPFs) are powerful smoothing algorithms for general nonlinear/non-Gaussian hidden Markov models. However, CPFs can be inefficient or difficult to apply with diffuse initial distributions, which are common in…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-23 Santeri Karppinen , Matti Vihola

Current discriminative depth estimation methods often produce blurry artifacts, while generative approaches suffer from slow sampling due to curvatures in the noise-to-depth transport. Our method addresses these challenges by framing depth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ming Gui , Johannes Schusterbauer , Ulrich Prestel , Pingchuan Ma , Dmytro Kotovenko , Olga Grebenkova , Stefan Andreas Baumann , Vincent Tao Hu , Björn Ommer

The growing demand for text-to-image generation has led to rapid advances in generative modeling. Recently, text-to-image diffusion models trained with flow matching algorithms, such as FLUX, have achieved remarkable progress and emerged as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Zikai Zhou , Muyao Wang , Shitong Shao , Lichen Bai , Haoyi Xiong , Bo Han , Zeke Xie

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…

Deep generative models have recently been applied to physical systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs), offering scalable simulation and uncertainty-aware inference. However, enforcing physical constraints, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Utkarsh Utkarsh , Pengfei Cai , Alan Edelman , Rafael Gomez-Bombarelli , Christopher Vincent Rackauckas

Flow Matching (FM) is a recent generative modelling technique: we aim to learn how to sample from distribution $\mathfrak{X}_1$ by flowing samples from some distribution $\mathfrak{X}_0$ that is easy to sample from. The key trick is that…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Finn M. Sherry , Bart M. N. Smets

Forecasting high-dimensional, PDE-governed dynamics remains a core challenge for generative modeling. Existing autoregressive and diffusion-based approaches often suffer cumulative errors and discretisation artifacts that limit long,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Yolanne Yi Ran Lee , Kyriakos Flouris

Sampling from unnormalized densities is analogous to the generative modeling problem, but the target distribution is defined by a known energy function instead of data samples. Because evaluating the energy function is often costly, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Aaron Havens , Brian Karrer , Neta Shaul

This paper introduces Gauge Flow Models, a novel class of Generative Flow Models. These models incorporate a learnable Gauge Field within the Flow Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE). A comprehensive mathematical framework for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alexander Strunk , Roland Assam

Scene flow estimation is an essential ingredient for a variety of real-world applications, especially for autonomous agents, such as self-driving cars and robots. While recent scene flow estimation approaches achieve a reasonable accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yushan Zhang , Bastian Wandt , Maria Magnusson , Michael Felsberg

Some real-world decision-making problems require making probabilistic forecasts over multiple steps at once. However, methods for probabilistic forecasting may fail to capture correlations in the underlying time-series that exist over long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Arec Jamgochian , Di Wu , Kunal Menda , Soyeon Jung , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Recent work has demonstrated surprisingly good performance of pre-trained LLMs on regression tasks (for example, time-series prediction), with the ability to incorporate expert prior knowledge and the information contained in textual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Felix Biggs , Samuel Willis

Diffusion-based models have significant achievements in time series generation but suffer from inefficient computation: solving high-dimensional ODEs/SDEs via iterative numerical solvers demands hundreds to thousands of drift function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yang Hu , Xiao Wang , Zezhen Ding , Lirong Wu , Huatian Zhang , Stan Z. Li , Sheng Wang , Jiheng Zhang , Ziyun Li , Tianlong Chen

Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Lars Graf , Thomas Ortner , Stanisław Woźniak , Angeliki Pantazi

Although many deep-learning-based super-resolution approaches have been proposed in recent years, because no ground truth is available in the inference stage, few can quantify the errors and uncertainties of the super-resolved results. For…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-10 Jingyi Shen , Han-Wei Shen