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Time-series anomaly detection deals with the problem of detecting anomalous timesteps by learning normality from the sequence of observations. However, the concept of normality evolves over time, leading to a "new normal problem", where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Dongmin Kim , Sunghyun Park , Jaegul Choo

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Transformer-based models, despite their promise for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), suffer from an inherent low-pass filtering effect that limits their effectiveness. This issue arises due to undifferentiated propagation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Jingjing Bai , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

Time series anomaly detection is critical for system monitoring and risk identification, across various domains, such as finance and healthcare. However, for most reconstruction-based approaches, detecting anomalies remains a challenge due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Wenxin Zhang , Ding Xu , Guangzhen Yao , Xiaojian Lin , Renxiang Guan , Chengze Du , Renda Han , Xi Xuan , Cuicui Luo

We present a machine learning approach to the inversion of Fredholm integrals of the first kind. The approach provides a natural regularization in cases where the inverse of the Fredholm kernel is ill-conditioned. It also provides an…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2016-12-16 Louis-Francois Arsenault , Richard Neuberg , Lauren A. Hannah , Andrew J. Millis

In many areas of engineering, nonlinear numerical analysis is playing an increasingly important role in supporting the design and monitoring of structures. Whilst increasing computer resources have made such formerly prohibitive analyses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Thomas Simpson , Nikolaos Dervilis , Eleni Chatzi

Multichannel frequency estimation with incomplete data and miscellaneous noises arises in array signal processing, modal analysis, wireless communications, and so on. In this paper, we consider maximum-likelihood(-like) optimization methods…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Xunmeng Wu , Zai Yang , Zongben Xu

Signal decomposition is an effective tool to assist the identification of modal information in time-domain signals. Two signal decomposition methods, including the empirical wavelet transform (EWT) and Fourier decomposition method (FDM),…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-31 Wei Zhou , Zhongren Feng , Y. F. Xu , Xiongjiang Wang , Hao Lv

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting (IMTSF) is challenging due to non-uniform sampling and variable asynchronicity. These irregularities violate the equidistant assumptions of standard models, hindering local temporal modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Kangjia Yan , Xvyuan Liu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu

Anomaly detection is crucial for ensuring the stability and reliability of web service systems. Logs and metrics contain multiple information that can reflect the system's operational state and potential anomalies. Thus, existing anomaly…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Xixuan Yang , Xin Huang , Chiming Duan , Tong Jia , Shandong Dong , Ying Li , Gang Huang

Deep neural networks possess strong representational capacity yet remain vulnerable to overfitting, primarily because neurons tend to co-adapt in ways that, while capturing complex and fine-grained feature interactions, also reinforce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Gelesh G Omathil , Sreeja CS

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Adaptation to out-of-distribution data is a meta-challenge for all statistical learning algorithms that strongly rely on the i.i.d. assumption. It leads to unavoidable labor costs and confidence crises in realistic applications. For that,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Jingye Wang , Ruoyi Du , Dongliang Chang , Kongming Liang , Zhanyu Ma

Modern machine learning models struggle to maintain performance in dynamic environments where temporal distribution shifts, \emph{i.e., concept drift}, are prevalent. Temporal Domain Generalization (TDG) seeks to enable model generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 En Yu , Jie Lu , Xiaoyu Yang , Guangquan Zhang , Zhen Fang

Diffusion models are typically trained using pointwise reconstruction objectives that are agnostic to the spectral and multi-scale structure of natural signals. We propose a loss-level spectral regularization framework that augments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Satish Chandran , Nicolas Roque dos Santos , Yunshu Wu , Greg Ver Steeg , Evangelos Papalexakis

Time series anomaly detection is critical for modern digital infrastructures, yet existing methods lack systematic cross-domain evaluation. We present a comprehensive forecasting-based framework unifying classical methods (Holt-Winters,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Mohammad Karami , Mostafa Jalali , Fatemeh Ghassemi

Due to the inherent complexity, temporal patterns in real-world time series often evolve across multiple intertwined scales, including long-term periodicity, short-term fluctuations, and abrupt regime shifts. While existing literature has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Yubo Wang , Hui He , Chaoxi Niu , Zhendong Niu

The frequency-domain properties of nonstationary functional time series often contain valuable information. These properties are characterized through its time-varying power spectrum. Practitioners seeking low-dimensional summary measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Pramita Bagchi , Scott A. Bruce

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai