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Uncertainty quantification of deep neural networks has become an active field of research and plays a crucial role in various downstream tasks such as active learning. Recent advances in evidential deep learning shed light on the direct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Ruxiao Duan , Brian Caffo , Harrison X. Bai , Haris I. Sair , Craig Jones

AI deployed in the real-world should be capable of autonomously adapting to novelties encountered after deployment. Yet, in the field of continual learning, the reliance on novelty and labeling oracles is commonplace albeit unrealistic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Amanda S. Rios , Ibrahima J. Ndiour , Parual Datta , Jaroslaw Sydir , Omesh Tickoo , Nilesh Ahuja

We introduce a class of acquisition functions for sample selection that leads to faster convergence in applications related to Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification. The approach follows the paradigm of active…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Antoine Blanchard , Themistoklis Sapsis

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide principled uncertainty quantification but suffer from substantial computational and memory overhead compared to deterministic networks. While quantization techniques have successfully reduced resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Hendrik Borras , Yong Wu , Bernhard Klein , Holger Fröning

This paper introduces the Hierarchical Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (HKAN), a novel network architecture that offers a competitive alternative to the recently proposed Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN). Unlike KAN, which relies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Grzegorz Dudek , Tomasz Rodak

On top of machine learning models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Venkat Nemani , Luca Biggio , Xun Huan , Zhen Hu , Olga Fink , Anh Tran , Yan Wang , Xiaoge Zhang , Chao Hu

Recently, Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) have been proposed as an alternative to multilayer perceptrons, suggesting advantages in performance and interpretability. We study a typical binary event classification task in high-energy…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-05-27 Johannes Erdmann , Florian Mausolf , Jan Lukas Späh

Current person image retrieval methods have achieved great improvements in accuracy metrics. However, they rarely describe the reliability of the prediction. In this paper, we propose an Uncertainty-Aware Learning (UAL) method to remedy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhaopeng Dou , Zhongdao Wang , Weihua Chen , Yali Li , Shengjin Wang

Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) have gained significant attention as an alternative to traditional multilayer perceptrons, with proponents claiming superior interpretability and performance through learnable univariate activation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Yuntian Hou , Tianrui Ji , Di Zhang , Angelos Stefanidis

Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process. Mean-variance estimation networks can learn this type of uncertainty but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jiaxiang Yi , Miguel A. Bessa

This paper introduces a novel and scalable framework for uncertainty estimation and separation with applications in data driven modeling in science and engineering tasks where reliable uncertainty quantification is critical. Leveraging an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Navid Ansari , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

Many problems in engineering and sciences require the solution of large scale optimization constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs). Though PDE-constrained optimization is itself challenging, most applications pose additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Roland Herzog

Although Kolmogorov-Arnold-based interpretable networks (KANs) possess strong theoretical expressiveness, they suffer from severe parameter explosion and limited ability to capture high-frequency features in high-dimensional tasks. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jusheng Zhang , Yijia Fan , Kaitong Cai , Keze Wang , Wenhao Wang

We present a novel uncertainty quantification approach for high-dimensional stochastic partial differential equations that reduces the computational cost of polynomial chaos methods by decomposing the computational domain into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-11 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Panos Stinis , Alexandre Tartakovsky

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy in various applications, they often fall short in accurately estimating their predictive uncertainty and, in turn, fail to recognize when these predictions may be wrong.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

Statistical models typically capture uncertainties in our knowledge of the corresponding real-world processes, however, it is less common for this uncertainty specification to capture uncertainty surrounding the values of the inputs to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

The quantification of multivariate uncertainties in partial differential equations can easily exceed any computing capacity unless proper measures are taken to reduce the complexity of the model. In this work, we propose a multidimensional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Peter Benner , Jan Heiland

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is widely regarded as the primary safeguard for deploying Large Language Models (LLMs) in high-stakes domains. However, we argue that the field suffers from a category error: mainstream UQ methods for LLMs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Tiejin Chen , Longchao Da , Xiaoou Liu , Hua Wei

We present a comparison of methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning algorithms in the context of a simple physical system. Three of the most common uncertainty quantification methods - Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 João Caldeira , Brian Nord

This paper proposes a fast and scalable method for uncertainty quantification of machine learning models' predictions. First, we show the principled way to measure the uncertainty of predictions for a classifier based on Nadaraya-Watson's…