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We analyze the bootstrap percolation process on the stochastic block model (SBM), a natural extension of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'{e}nyi random graph that incorporates the community structure observed in many real systems. In the SBM, nodes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Giovanni Luca Torrisi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based models is challenging due to the high-dimensional state-space…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Christopher Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

Bootstrapping can produce confidence levels for hypotheses about quadratic regression models - such as whether the U-shape is inverted, and the location of optima. The method has several advantages over conventional methods: it provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-09 Michael Wood

We consider percolation on interdependent locally treelike networks, recently introduced by Buldyrev et al., Nature 464, 1025 (2010), and demonstrate that the problem can be simplified conceptually by deleting all references to cascades of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-01-09 Seung-Woo Son , Golnoosh Bizhani , Claire Christensen , Peter Grassberger , Maya Paczuski

An adaptive Monte Carlo localization algorithm based on coevolution mechanism of ecological species is proposed. Samples are clustered into species, each of which represents a hypothesis of the robots pose. Since the coevolution between the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Luo Ronghua , Hong Bingrong

Computing systems interacting with real-world processes must safely and reliably process uncertain data. The Monte Carlo method is a popular approach for computing with such uncertain values. This article introduces a framework for…

Models with intractable normalizing functions arise frequently in statistics. Common examples of such models include exponential random graph models for social networks and Markov point processes for ecology and disease modeling. Inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Global mobile robot localization is the problem of determining a robot's pose in an environment, using sensor data, when the starting position is unknown. A family of probabilistic algorithms known as Monte Carlo Localization (MCL) is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Javier Nicolas Sanchez , Adam Milstein , Evan Williamson

For oscillating time series, the prediction is often focused on the turning points. In order to predict the turning point magnitudes and times it is proposed to form the state space reconstruction only from the turning points and modify the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kugiumtzis

We consider Monte Carlo approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants. This paper deals with adaptive Monte Carlo algorithms, which adjust control parameters in the course of simulation. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

Accessibility percolation is a new type of percolation problem inspired by evolutionary biology. To each vertex of a graph a random number is assigned and a path through the graph is called accessible if all numbers along the path are in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-04 Stefan Nowak , Joachim Krug

We study bootstrap percolation processes on random simplicial complexes of some fixed dimension $d \geq 3$. Starting from a single simplex of dimension $d$, we build our complex dynamically in the following fashion. We introduce new…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Nikolaos Fountoulakis , Michał Przykucki

Geometric inhomogeneous random graphs (GIRGs) are a model for scale-free networks with underlying geometry. We study bootstrap percolation on these graphs, which is a process modelling the spread of an infection of vertices starting within…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Christoph Koch , Johannes Lengler

We analyze quantum measurement and entanglement by solving the dynamics of stochastic amplitudes that propagate both forward and backward in time. The model allows simulation of Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen and Bell correlations, and reveals…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-13 M. D. Reid , P. D. Drummond

An elegant bootstrap percolation result on the hyperrectangle graph was proved by Balogh, Bollob\'as, Morris, and Riordan using a linear algebric method in 2012. This paper studies the same problem by purely combinatorial means. The base…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-18 Gábor V. Nagy , Ákos Süli

Agent-based models of disease transmission involve stochastic rules that specify how a number of individuals would infect one another, recover or be removed from the population. Common yet stringent assumptions stipulate interchangeability…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-29 Nianqiao Ju , Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob

We propose an experimental test of local hidden variable theories against quantum mechanics by measuring the polarization correlation of entangled vector meson pairs. In our study, the form of the polarization correlation probability is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2012-09-25 Xun Chen , Siguang Wang , Yajun Mao

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot
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