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Metastability thresholds lie at the heart of bootstrap percolation theory. Yet proving precise lower bounds is notoriously hard. We show that for two of the most classical models, two-neighbour and Frob\"ose, upper bounds are sharp to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Ivailo Hartarsky , Augusto Teixeira

We study the onset of the bootstrap percolation transition as a model of generalized dynamical arrest. We develop a new importance-sampling procedure in simulation, based on rare events around "holes", that enables us to access bootstrap…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Paolo De Gregorio , Aonghus Lawlor , Phil Bradley , Kenneth A. Dawson

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou

This paper introduces a local optimization-based approach to test statistical hypotheses and to construct confidence intervals. This approach can be viewed as an extension of bootstrap, and yields asymptotically valid tests and confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Shifeng Xiong

Following Bradonji\'c and Saniee, we study a model of bootstrap percolation on the Gilbert random geometric graph on the $2$-dimensional torus. In this model, the expected number of vertices of the graph is $n$, and the expected degree of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Victor Falgas-Ravry , Amites Sarkar

Two-dimensional bootstrap percolation is a cellular automaton in which sites become 'infected' by contact with two or more already infected nearest neighbors. We consider these dynamics, which can be interpreted as a monotone version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-27 Janko Gravner , Alexander E. Holroyd , Robert Morris

In modified two-neighbour bootstrap percolation in two dimensions each site of $\mathbb Z^2$ is initially independently infected with probability $p$ and on each discrete time step one additionally infects sites with at least two…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Ivailo Hartarsky

By bootstrap percolation we mean the following deterministic process on a graph $G$. Given a set $A$ of vertices "infected" at time 0, new vertices are subsequently infected, at each time step, if they have at least $r\in\mathbb{N}$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-08-31 József Balogh , Béla Bollobás , Robert Morris

Bootstrapping was designed to randomly resample data from a fixed sample using Monte Carlo techniques. However, the original sample itself defines a discrete distribution. Convolutional methods are well suited for discrete distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Jared M. Clark , Richard L. Warr

We study the percolation time of the $r$-neighbour bootstrap percolation model on the discrete torus $(\Z/n\Z)^d$. For $t$ at most a polylog function of $n$ and initial infection probabilities within certain ranges depending on $t$, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-15 Béla Bollobás , Paul Smith , Andrew J. Uzzell

We present a new Monte Carlo algorithm for studying site or bond percolation on any lattice. The algorithm allows us to calculate quantities such as the cluster size distribution or spanning probability over the entire range of site or bond…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. E. J. Newman , R. M. Ziff

We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

Bootstrap percolation on a graph iteratively enlarges a set of occupied sites by adjoining points with at least $\theta$ occupied neighbors. The initially occupied set is random, given by a uniform product measure, and we say that spanning…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Janko Gravner , David Sivakoff

Bootstrap percolation models have been extensively studied during the two past decades. In this article, we study the following "anisotropic" bootstrap percolation model: the neighborhood of a point (m,n) is the set…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-31 H. Duminil-Copin , A. C. D. Van Enter

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

The bootstrap is a versatile inference method that has proven powerful in many statistical problems. However, when applied to modern large-scale models, it could face substantial computation demand from repeated data resampling and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Henry Lam

We advance the theory of parametric bootstrap in constructing highly efficient empirical best (EB) prediction intervals of small area means. The coverage error of such a prediction interval is of the order $O(m^{-3/2})$, where $m$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Yuting Chen , Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

We propose a new method called localized conformal prediction, where we can perform conformal inference using only a local region around a new test sample to construct its confidence interval. Localized conformal inference is a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Leying Guan

In bootstrap percolation it is known that the critical percolation threshold tends to converge slowly to zero with increasing system size, or, inversely, the critical size diverges fast when the percolation probability goes to zero. To…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-02-04 Aernout C. D. van Enter

In this note we provide an alternative proof of the fact that subcritical bootstrap percolation models have a positive critical probability in any dimension. The proof relies on a recent extension of the classical framework of Toom. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Ivailo Hartarsky , Réka Szabó
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