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Ecological systems are complex dynamical systems. Modelling efforts on ecosystems' dynamical stability have revealed that population dynamics, being highly nonlinear, can be governed by complex fluctuations. Indeed, experimental and field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Lluís Alsedà , José Tomás Lázaro , Ricard Solé , Blai Vidiella , Josep Sardanyés

A fundamental issue in nonlinear dynamics and statistical physics is how to distinguish chaotic from stochastic fluctuations in short experimental recordings. This dilemma underlies many complex systems models from stochastic gene…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-04-12 Chi-Sang Poon , Cheng Li , Guo-Qiang Wu

In this work, we present a computational framework for exploring and analyzing the macroscopic dynamics of complex agent-based network models by integrating Topological Data Analysis with the Equation-Free Method. To demonstrate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Konstantinos Spiliotis , Ole Sönnerborn , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Nikos I. Kavallaris

We introduce a data-driven dynamic factor framework for modeling the joint evolution of high-dimensional covariates and responses without parametric assumptions. Standard factor models applied to covariates alone often lose explanatory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-16 Graeme Baker , Agostino Capponi , J. Antonio Sidaoui

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We scrutinize the use of machine learning, based on reservoir computing, to build data-driven effective models of multiscale chaotic systems. We show that, for a wide scale separation, machine learning generates effective models akin to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-11-11 Francesco Borra , Angelo Vulpiani , Massimo Cencini

In recent years, individual-based/agent-based modeling has been applied to study a wide range of applications, ranging from engineering problems to phenomena in sociology, economics and biology. Simulating such agent-based models over…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-30 Ping Liu , Giovanni Samaey , C. William Gear , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

In this work, inspired in the symbolic dynamic of chaotic systems and using machine learning techniques, a control strategy for complex systems is designed. Unlike the usual methodologies based on modeling, where the control signal is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-08 Pedro García

Coarse-grained modeling in molecular simulations serves not only to extend accessible time and length scales beyond atomistic limits, but also to reduce high-dimensional chemical data to low-dimensional representations that expose the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Michael N. Sakano , Alejandro Strachan

Theoretical foundations of chaos have have been predominantly laid out for finite-dimensional dynamical systems, such as the three-body problem in classical mechanics and the Lorenz model in dissipative systems. In contrast, many real-world…

We study the coherent dynamics of globally coupled maps showing macroscopic chaos. With this term we indicate the hydrodynamical-like irregular behaviour of some global observables, with typical times much longer than the times related to…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

Coarse-grained models of chaotic systems neglect unresolved degrees of freedom, inducing structured model error that limits predictability and distorts long-term statistics. Typical data-driven closures are trained to minimize error over a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Martin Thomas Brolly

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Complex, oscillatory data arises from a large variety of biological, physical, and social systems. However, the inherent oscillation and ubiquitous noise pose great challenges to current methodology such as linear and nonlinear time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-19 J. Zhang , K. Zhang , J. Feng , J. Sun , X. Xu , M. Small

The paper demonstrates that invariant foliations are accurate, data-efficient and practical tools for data-driven modelling of physical systems. Invariant foliations can be fitted to data that either fill the phase space or cluster about an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Robert Szalai

A powerful approach for understanding neural population dynamics is to extract low-dimensional trajectories from population recordings using dimensionality reduction methods. Current approaches for dimensionality reduction on neural data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Marcel Nonnenmacher , Srinivas C. Turaga , Jakob H. Macke

Spatiotemporal dynamics is central to a wide range of applications from climatology, computer vision to neural sciences. From temporal observations taken on a high-dimensional vector of spatial locations, we seek to derive knowledge about…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Lu Meng , Tian Zheng

In evolving complex systems such as air traffic and social organizations, collective effects emerge from their many components' dynamic interactions. While the dynamic interactions can be represented by temporal networks with nodes and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Tiago P. Peixoto , Martin Rosvall

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

In this paper, a data-driven approach is developed for controller design for a class of discrete-time large-scale systems, where a large-scale system can be expressed in an equivalent data-driven form and the decentralized controllers can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-18 Jiaping Liao , Shuaizheng Lu , Tao Wang , Weiming Xiang
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