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Hawkes Processes have undergone increasing popularity as default tools for modeling self- and mutually exciting interactions of discrete events in continuous-time event streams. A Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) unconstrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rafael Lima

Meta analysis is commonly-used to synthesize multiple results from individual studies. However, its validation is usually threatened by publication bias and between-study heterogeneity, which can be captured by the Copas selection model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mengke Li , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade

This paper is to introduce an asynchronous and local learning framework for neural networks, named Modular Learning Framework (MOLE). This framework modularizes neural networks by layers, defines the training objective via mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Tianchao Li , Yulong Pei

Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular method to perform interpretability of any kind of Machine Learning (ML) model. It explains one ML prediction at a time, by learning a simple linear model around the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Giorgio Visani , Enrico Bagli , Federico Chesani

We propose Conformal Mixed-Integer Constraint Learning (C-MICL), a novel framework that provides probabilistic feasibility guarantees for data-driven constraints in optimization problems. While standard Mixed-Integer Constraint Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Daniel Ovalle , Lorenz T. Biegler , Ignacio E. Grossmann , Carl D. Laird , Mateo Dulce Rubio

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

We propose a method for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates in a model with continuous and binary outcomes. Combinations of left and right censored observations are also naturally modeled in this framework. The model and estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-07 Klaus K. Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen , Gitte Moos Knudsen

Parametric statistical models that are implicitly defined in terms of a stochastic data generating process are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines because they enable accurate modeling. However, learning the parameters from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-24 Traiko Dinev , Michael U. Gutmann

Topic models provide a useful text-mining tool for learning, extracting, and discovering latent structures in large text corpora. Although a plethora of methods have been proposed for topic modeling, lacking in the literature is a formal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-12 Yinyin Chen , Shishuang He , Yun Yang , Feng Liang

We estimate a general mixture of Markov jump processes. The key novel feature of the proposed mixture is that the transition intensity matrices of the Markov processes comprising the mixture are entirely unconstrained. The Markov processes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Halina Frydman , Budhi Surya

A key challenge of modern machine learning systems is to achieve Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization -- generalizing to target data whose distribution differs from that of source data. Despite its significant importance, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Jiawei Ge , Shange Tang , Jianqing Fan , Cong Ma , Chi Jin

This paper introduces a novel decision-making framework that promotes consistency among decisions made by diverse models while utilizing external knowledge. Leveraging the Integer Linear Programming (ILP) framework, we map predictions from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hossein Rajaby Faghihi , Parisa Kordjamshidi

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

We introduce the Mutual Information Machine (MIM), a probabilistic auto-encoder for learning joint distributions over observations and latent variables. MIM reflects three design principles: 1) low divergence, to encourage the encoder and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Micha Livne , Kevin Swersky , David J. Fleet

Restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation is a widely accepted and frequently used method for fitting linear mixed models, with its principal advantage being that it produces less biased estimates of the variance components. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Luca Maestrini , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

In the missing data literature, the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is celebrated for its ignorability property under missing at random (MAR) data. However, its sensitivity to misspecification of the (complete) data model, even under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Jeffrey Näf

Scalable decentralized optimization in large-scale systems hinges on efficient communication. A common way to reduce communication overhead is to perform multiple local updates between two communication rounds, as in federated learning.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Jie Liu , Zuang Wang , Yongqiang Wang