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Related papers: Uncertainty-Guided Enhancement on Driving Percepti…

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In this paper, we introduce a new technique that combines two popular methods to estimate uncertainty in object detection. Quantifying uncertainty is critical in real-world robotic applications. Traditional detection models can be ambiguous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Zongyao Lyu , Nolan B. Gutierrez , William J. Beksi

To ensure safe clinical integration, deep learning models must provide more than just high accuracy; they require dependable uncertainty quantification. While current Medical Vision Transformers perform well, they frequently struggle with…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-13 Mohammed Maaz Sibhai , Abedalrhman Alkhateeb , Saad B. Ahmed

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Accurately knowing uncertainties in appearance-based gaze tracking is critical for ensuring reliable downstream applications. Due to the lack of individual uncertainty labels, current uncertainty-aware approaches adopt probabilistic models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Qiaojie Zheng , Jiucai Zhang , Xiaoli Zhang

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

Off-road autonomous unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) are being developed for military and commercial use to deliver crucial supplies in remote locations, help with mapping and surveillance, and to assist war-fighters in contested…

This paper introduces a lightweight uncertainty estimator capable of predicting multimodal (disjoint) uncertainty bounds by integrating conformal prediction with a deep-learning regressor. We specifically discuss its application for visual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Domenico Parente , Nastaran Darabi , Alex C. Stutts , Theja Tulabandhula , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy was recently developed to enable uncertainty quantification for optimization problems. The approach consists of two primary steps: (i) Bayesian calibration of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Jixian Li , Timbwaoga A. J. Ouermi , Chris R. Johnson

Learning-based algorithms for automated license plate recognition implicitly assume that the training and test data are well aligned. However, this may not be the case under extreme environmental conditions, or in forensic applications…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Franziska Schirrmacher , Benedikt Lorch , Anatol Maier , Christian Riess

Deep learning (DL) has recently attracted increasing interest to improve object type classification for automotive radar.In addition to high accuracy, it is crucial for decision making in autonomous vehicles to evaluate the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Kanil Patel , William Beluch , Kilian Rambach , Adriana-Eliza Cozma , Michael Pfeiffer , Bin Yang

Machine learning has demonstrated remarkable performance over finite datasets, yet whether the scores over the fixed benchmarks can sufficiently indicate the model's performance in the real world is still in discussion. In reality, an ideal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Peiyan Zhang , Haoyang Liu , Chaozhuo Li , Xing Xie , Sunghun Kim , Haohan Wang

Pretrained foundation models learn embeddings that can be used for a wide range of downstream tasks. These embeddings optimise general performance, and if insufficiently accurate at a specific task the model can be fine-tuned to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Matthew P. Wilson , Edward O. Pyzer-Knapp , Nicolas Galichet , Luke Dicks

Current autonomous driving perception models primarily rely on supervised learning with predefined categories. However, these models struggle to detect general obstacles not included in the fixed category set due to their variability and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Tamás Matuszka , Péter Hajas , Dávid Szeghy

Highly accurate datasets from numerical or physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming to acquire, posing a significant challenge for applications that require precise evaluations, potentially across multiple scenarios and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Attilio Frangi , Andrea Manzoni

To date, most probabilistic reasoning systems have relied on a fixed belief network constructed at design time. The network is used by an application program as a representation of (in)dependencies in the domain. Probabilistic inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Robert P. Goldman , John S. Breese

Understanding material failure is critical for designing stronger and lighter structures by identifying weaknesses that could be mitigated. Existing full-physics numerical simulation techniques involve trade-offs between speed, accuracy,…

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in high-stakes applications, such as medical diagnosis, where confidently incorrect predictions can erode trust in automated decision-making systems. Traditional uncertainty quantification…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Hassan Gharoun , Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi , Fang Chen , Amir H. Gandomi