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A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Causal reasoning can be considered a cornerstone of intelligent systems. Having access to an underlying causal graph comes with the promise of cause-effect estimation and the identification of efficient and safe interventions. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Amir Mohammad Karimi Mamaghan , Andrea Dittadi , Stefan Bauer , Karl Henrik Johansson , Francesco Quinzan

Machine learning models can represent climate processes that are nonlocal in horizontal space, height, and time, often by combining information across these dimensions in highly nonlinear ways. While this can improve predictive skill, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Savannah L. Ferretti , Jerry Lin , Sara Shamekh , Jane W. Baldwin , Michael S. Pritchard , Tom Beucler

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

We introduce a data-driven order reduction method for nonlinear control systems, drawing on recent progress in machine learning and statistical dimensionality reduction. The method rests on the assumption that the nonlinear system behaves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Jake Bouvrie , Boumediene Hamzi

Classical machine learning techniques often struggle with overfitting and unreliable predictions when exposed to novel conditions. Introducing causality into the modelling process offers a promising way to mitigate these challenges by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-28 David Zapata Gonzalez , Marcel Meyer , Oliver Mueller

We use a deep Koopman operator-theoretic formalism to develop a novel causal discovery algorithm, Kausal. Causal discovery aims to identify cause-effect mechanisms for better scientific understanding, explainable decision-making, and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Juan Nathaniel , Carla Roesch , Jatan Buch , Derek DeSantis , Adam Rupe , Kara Lamb , Pierre Gentine

We propose causal effect estimators based on empirical Fr\'{e}chet means and operator-valued kernels, tailored to functional data spaces. These methods address the challenges of high-dimensionality, sequential ordering, and model complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Yordan P. Raykov , Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh

Kernel methods are powerful machine learning techniques which implement generic non-linear functions to solve complex tasks in a simple way. They Have a solid mathematical background and exhibit excellent performance in practice. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Adrián Pérez-Suay , Miguel D. Mahecha , Gustau Camps-Valls

Spatio-temporal (ST) prediction has garnered a De facto attention in earth sciences, such as meteorological prediction, human mobility perception. However, the scarcity of data coupled with the high expenses involved in sensor deployment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Yifan Duan , Jian Zhao , pengcheng , Junyuan Mao , Hao Wu , Jingyu Xu , Shilong Wang , Caoyuan Ma , Kai Wang , Kun Wang , Xuelong Li

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

This expository article presents the approach to statistical machine learning based on reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. The basic framework is introduced for scalar-valued learning and then extended to operator learning. Finally, learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Lorenzo Rosasco

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

We consider the problem of causal structure learning in the setting of heterogeneous populations, i.e., populations in which a single causal structure does not adequately represent all population members, as is common in biological and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Alex Markham , Richeek Das , Moritz Grosse-Wentrup

Data-driven discovery of "hidden physics" -- i.e., machine learning of differential equation models underlying observed data -- has recently been approached by embedding the discovery problem into a Gaussian Process regression of spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-05 Mamikon Gulian , Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Karniadakis

This paper introduces a computational framework to identify nonlinear input-output operators that fit a set of system trajectories while satisfying incremental integral quadratic constraints. The data fitting algorithm is thus regularized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Henk J. van Waarde , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Hamiltonian dynamics describe a wide range of physical systems. As such, data-driven simulations of Hamiltonian systems are important for many scientific and engineering problems. In this work, we propose kernel-based methods for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yasamin Jalalian , Mostafa Samir , Boumediene Hamzi , Peyman Tavallali , Houman Owhadi

In this work, we consider the problem of learning nonlinear operators that correspond to discrete-time nonlinear dynamical systems with inputs. Given an initial state and a finite input trajectory, such operators yield a finite output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Mircea Lazar

Can the direction of time and the causal structure of space-time be inferred from operational principles? Causal models and tensor networks offer complementary perspectives: the former encodes cause-effect relations via directed graphs,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Carla Ferradini , Giulia Mazzola , V. Vilasini

Particle- and agent-based systems are a ubiquitous modeling tool in many disciplines. We consider the fundamental problem of inferring interaction kernels from observations of agent-based dynamical systems given observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Mauro Maggioni , Jason Miller , Ming Zhong