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Climate models are critical tools for developing strategies to manage the risks posed by sea-level rise to coastal communities. While these models are necessary for understanding climate risks, there is a level of uncertainty inherent in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Alana Hough , Tony E. Wong

Accurate forecasting of river water levels is vital for effectively managing traffic flow and mitigating the risks associated with natural disasters. This task presents challenges due to the intricate factors influencing the flow of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sungchul Hong , Yunjin Choi , Jong-June Jeon

Neural scaling laws, which in some domains can predict the performance of large neural networks as a function of model, data, and compute scale, are the cornerstone of building foundation models in Natural Language Processing and Computer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Shashank Subramanian , Alexander Kiefer , Arnur Nigmetov , Amir Gholami , Dmitriy Morozov , Michael W. Mahoney

Wind energy plays a critical role in the transition towards renewable energy sources. However, the uncertainty and variability of wind can impede its full potential and the necessary growth of wind power capacity. To mitigate these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Stefan Jonas , Kevin Winter , Bernhard Brodbeck , Angela Meyer

The free energetics of water density fluctuations in bulk water, at interfaces, and in hydrophobic confinement inform the hydration of hydrophobic solutes as well as their interactions and assembly. The characterization of such free…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-15 Erte Xi , Sean M. Marks , Suruchi Fialoke , Amish J. Patel

This study presents a coupled physical statistical framework for retrieving snow water equivalent (SWE) in forested areas using dual frequency X and Ku band SAR observations. The method combines a multilayer snow hydrology model (MSHM) with…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-25 Siddharth Singh , Carrie Vuyovich , Ana P. Barros

Time series autoregression (AR) is a classical tool for modeling auto-correlations and periodic structures in real-world systems. We revisit this model from an interpretable machine learning perspective by introducing sparse autoregression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xinyu Chen , Vassilis Digalakis , Lijun Ding , Dingyi Zhuang , Jinhua Zhao

We apply two data assimilation (DA) methods, a smoother and a filter, and a model-free machine learning (ML) shallow network to forecast two weakly turbulent systems. We analyse the effect of the spatial sparsity of observations on accuracy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-16 Vikrant Gupta , Yuanqing Chen , Minping Wan

There is growing interest in data-driven weather prediction (DDWP), for example using convolutional neural networks such as U-NETs that are trained on data from models or reanalysis. Here, we propose 3 components to integrate with commonly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Mustafa Mustafa , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Eviatar Bach , Karthik Kashinath

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) need digital-twin-style decision support tools that can simulate plant response under prescribed control plans, tolerate irregular and missing sensing, and remain informative over 12-36 h planning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Gary Simethy , Daniel Ortiz Arroyo , Petar Durdevic

Stream-flow forecasting for small rivers has always been of great importance, yet comparatively challenging due to the special features of rivers with smaller volume. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods have been employed in this area for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Youchuan Hu , Le Yan , Tingting Hang , Jun Feng

There is increasing need for highly predictive and stable models for the prediction of drought as an aid to better planning for drought response. This paper presents the performance of both homogenous and heterogenous model ensembles in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-28 Chrisgone Adede , Robert Oboko , Peter W. Wagacha , Clement Atzberger

Accurate prediction of effluent temperature in recharge basins is essential for optimizing the Soil Aquifer Treatment (SAT) process, as temperature directly influences water viscosity and infiltration rates. This study develops and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Roy Elkayam

We develop a deep learning based convolutional-regression model that estimates the volumetric soil moisture content in the top ~5 cm of soil. Input predictors include Sentinel-1 (active radar), Sentinel-2 (optical imagery), and SMAP…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-17 Vishal Batchu , Grey Nearing , Varun Gulshan

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been widely used for modeling temporal dependence in a multivariate time series. For large (and even moderate) dimensions, the number of AR coefficients can be prohibitively large, resulting in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-21 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

Spatiotemporal simulation of minimum and maximum temperature is a fundamental requirement for climate impact studies and hydrological or agricultural models. Particularly over regions with variable orography, these simulations are difficult…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-03 William Kleiber , Richard W. Katz , Balaji Rajagopalan

The global occurrence, scale, and frequency of wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystem services and human livelihoods. To effectively quantify and attribute the antecedent conditions for wildfires, a thorough understanding of Earth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Ilektra Karasante , Lazaro Alonso , Ioannis Prapas , Akanksha Ahuja , Nuno Carvalhais , Ioannis Papoutsis