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Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

The recent revolution in data-driven methods for weather forecasting has lead to a fragmented landscape of complex, bespoke architectures and training strategies, obscuring the fundamental drivers of forecast accuracy. Here, we demonstrate…

Reliable prediction of large chaotic sytems in the short to middle time range is of interest in a number of fields, including climate, ecology, seismology, and economics. In this paper, results from chaos theory, and statistical theory are…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-17 M. LuValle

Partial differential equations, and their chaotic solutions, are pervasive in the modelling of complex systems in engineering, science, and beyond. Data-driven methods can find solutions to partial differential equations with a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-02 Elise Özalp , Luca Magri

Certain deterministic non-linear systems may show chaotic behaviour. Time series derived from such systems seem stochastic when analyzed with linear techniques. However, uncovering the deterministic structure is important because it allows…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Nils Christophersen

Effective inclusion of physics-based knowledge into deep neural network models of dynamical systems can greatly improve data efficiency and generalization. Such a-priori knowledge might arise from physical principles (e.g., conservation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Eric Goubault , Sylvie Putot , Ufuk Topcu

Continual learning, the ability of a model to adapt to an ongoing sequence of tasks without forgetting earlier ones, is a central goal of artificial intelligence. To better understand its underlying mechanisms, we study the limitations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Taheri , Avishek Ghosh , Arya Mazumdar

We present a novel method for guaranteeing linear momentum in learned physics simulations. Unlike existing methods, we enforce conservation of momentum with a hard constraint, which we realize via antisymmetrical continuous convolutional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Lukas Prantl , Benjamin Ummenhofer , Vladlen Koltun , Nils Thuerey

Uncertainty quantification is essential in safety-critical settings--from autonomous driving to aviation, finance, and health--where decisions must rely on conservative bounds rather than point estimates. Predictor-level intervals (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Ruirui Liu , Xuejie Hou , Yiping Jiang , Hui Ren

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

Structure-preserving approaches to dynamics discovery have demonstrated great potential for modeling physical systems due to their use of strong inductive biases, which enforce key features such as conservation laws and dissipative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Cheng Jing , Uvini Balasuriya Mudiyanselage , Woojin Cho , Minju Jo , Anthony Gruber , Kookjin Lee

We present a data-driven framework based on Lyapunov theory to provide stability guarantees for a family of hybrid systems. In particular, we are interested in the asymptotic stability of switching linear systems whose switching sequence is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-13 Adrien Banse , Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

We present a deep learning emulator for stochastic and chaotic spatio-temporal systems, explicitly conditioned on the parameter values of the underlying partial differential equations (PDEs). Our approach involves pre-training the model on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Ira J. S. Shokar , Rich R. Kerswell , Peter H. Haynes

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Neural networks have proven to be remarkably successful for a wide range of complicated tasks, from image recognition and object detection to speech recognition and machine translation. One of their successes is the skill in prediction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Anton Pershin , Cedric Beaume , Kuan Li , Steven M. Tobias

We study the learning ability of linear recurrent neural networks with Gradient Descent. We prove the first theoretical guarantee on linear RNNs to learn any stable linear dynamic system using any a large type of loss functions. For an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Lifu Wang , Tianyu Wang , Shengwei Yi , Bo Shen , Bo Hu , Xing Cao

The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i)…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-26 Elise Özalp , Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Accurately learning the temporal behavior of dynamical systems requires models with well-chosen learning biases. Recent innovations embed the Hamiltonian and Lagrangian formalisms into neural networks and demonstrate a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Shaan Desai , Marios Mattheakis , David Sondak , Pavlos Protopapas , Stephen Roberts

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…